So, where does this thing about the Red workflow being complicated, heavy and damn demanding comes from then ?
And James, I'm rarely, very rarely in contradiction with you, but the fact that Mac dominates the creative houses, no boubt with that, it's been like that for zillion years.
Now, on FCP I can't follow you on this prediction. Every editor I've been knowing so far have yes, FCP skills because they have to, but not one that I know edit mainly in FCP and most of them are completly allergic to it and they would give a list of 10 pages A4 to explain the reasons.
The few FCP editors I knew that have been trying Edius workflow in seminars have left FCP the same day and never went back.
Absolutly all the editors I've met so far are working with Media Composer or its broadcast version, some on Mac, others on Pcs workstations and the only reason they would eventually got the FCP is because of Prores monopoly. All broadcast TVs are working here with Avid, included national tv, and local tvs mainly on Edius. FCP is really the name I've heard the less unless in small independant editor houses where yes it is present and a few of independant filmakers I know.
And I know you know perfectly those facts actually but in fact I understand your post and why you say that about FCPx and yes, it may happen, like it or not, good or not. It may just happen.
Maybe California is different, but really, here FCP doesn't have the weight it has in the US.