I agree with this sentiment. I think you'll begin to see more Top End, and more Bottom End, and less Middle of the Road Beige.
P65, P45; Canon and Nikon. Everything else gets lost in the blur.
I liked the idea of the HY6 and think it was a solid system, especially long term if sensors would go to the full frame size of 6x6 and if the lens line had expanded.
The thing that kept me away from it wasn't the cost. It was that it is only available for only two makers digital backs. I feel he same way about any proprietary medium format camera and it doesn't mean I don't think Sinar, Hasselblad and leaf are not good, it just limits the options.
Who would have ever introduced a film that was proprietary to only a few cameras and expected success, but in theory that is the way medium format digital has been going.
Regardless of the economy medium format is different than Canon vs. Nikon and 35mm. Medium format needs to grow the segment not just a specific brand. The moment deals are made, cameras/lenses were sealed off from competitors is just another reason for a buyer to hesitate before investing into medium format, which is the opposite process of building a market.
Maybe I'm missing something, but prior to digital almost every professional owned a medium format system and few of them sold film to go along with it. They seemed to do just fine selling cameras and lenses.
Now it seems the opposite that the film (digital back) is what really matters and the cameras are just the incentive to get the photographer to buy a phase, leaf, sinar or hasselblad and if the camera maker doesn't have a digital back they go away. It makes no sense as I am positive today their are more photographers than any time in the past, so obviously there is more sales possibilities.
Today you don't have to go far to find a professional photographer that owns a dslr, you don't even have to look hard to find one that periodically rents a medium format camera, but ownership seems be less and less of a standard practice.
Personally, I disagree that medium format should lock themselves into only the very high end of the market. It doesn't build the segment.