Bear Pit: now the sole domicile of politics at LuLa

[Robert Roaldi]

I watched bits of that impromptu airport runway presser last night before Trump left for his weekly golf date. He stated that his Intelligence chief Tulsi Gabbard had it wrong in reporting that Iran was nowhere near producing nuclear weapons. Subsequently there was some online reporting that she and Trump were on the outs, which must always be taken with a pinch of salt. This morning I saw she changed her mind https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c056zqn6vvyo and now agrees with Trump. Where does he get his info and why would it be different from hers?

What a pathetic shit show. Politicians do dumb shit all the time but this crowd are on another level. I think Tulsi should dress in camo and shoot her dog, since the pooch must have eaten her homework.

Trump wants the Nobel Peace Prize for negotiating the end to the India-Pakistan troubles, or one of several other problem spots. I guess he heard that there's prize money involved.

I heard a report on today's news about a couple of cyber attacks on Iran. One of them may have caused the destruction of millions in crypto assets. Geez, that can't be good for that industry, that the "assets" can be bit-binned so easily.

The Trumps want to sell mobiles and mobile services now. Cool. Has anyone here gotten their sneakers or guitars? Are they good products? Were they actually delivered? What about the Trump watches?

There's some talk about the USA actively getting into hostilities against Iran. I wonder what it's like being a soldier and having to take orders from clowns like Hegseth or Trump.

[Rob C]

Responded like a true conspiracy theorists.

Joe, that statement you made simply doesn’t follow.

Rob

[digitaldog]

Joe, that statement you made simply doesn’t follow.

One way of winning an argument is to distract the person from the real point, leading them up the garden path of a side issue or something completely irrelevant to the real subject. The main argument may thus never be completed to a logical conclusion, especially if agreeing with the side issue can be substituted for the real agreement.

Appeal to Authority: Referencing an 'expert'.
Appeal to Emotion: If it feels good, it must be true.
Appeal to Ridicule: Mocking the other person's claim.
Attack the Person: Distracting them from their argument.
Complex Question: two questions, one answer allowed.
Conspiracy Theory: Reframe refutation as further proof.
False Compromise: Extreme views are wrong. The middle way is right.
False Effect: A is assumed to cause B. B is proven wrong, so A is wrong.
False Dilemma: Choice is A or B. Rejecting A is selecting B.
Insignificance: Making a minor cause seem major.
Many Questions: overloading them with lots of questions.
Poisoning the Well: Discrediting the person before they speak.
Red Herring: Distracting with an irrelevancy.
Reductio ad Absurdum: A false X is silly, so X is true.
Repetition: Repeating something makes it more true.
Strawman: Attack a weak argument used by the other person.
Style over Substance: An attractive presentation makes it more right.

[Rob C]

21% of 9,000,000 is not unimportant.  It's a major over look. 

You cant predict Israel is going to export all of the Arabs while ignoring all the fact that 21% of the country is Arab with full rights.  It kind of destroys
 your argument.

No, it simply illustrates a further problem waiting down the line if a general plan of ethnic cleansing is put into motion. That a non-Jewish group currently has its rights within Isreal in no way signifies the status quo will remain so. Think of Germany in the 30s for an example of the same sentiment but with the settled Jewish people on the receiving end instead. In real politics everything is up for grabs.

I would hope that Israel has no such plans. However, its continued expansion into territory not its own indicates an unstoppable machine on the march. That it has an argument for the current bombing of Gaza can’t be denied, but the way it is doing it at the moment is way out of proportion as response to that last land attack and kidnappings. If anything, it could be seen as simply the insane response to the political and military loss of face that not sussing out said assault was imminent has provoked.

[PeterAit]

21% of 9,000,000 is not unimportant.  It's a major over look. 

You cant predict Israel is going to export all of the Arabs while ignoring all the fact that 21% of the country is Arab with full rights.  It kind of destroys your argument.

I take "land controlled by Israel" to exclude Israel itself, so it means Gaza, Golan, and the West Bank.

[Robert Roaldi]

When things aren't going well domestically, just start a war to distract everyone.

[Rob C]

Never fails.

[digitaldog]

Absurd:

U.S. isn’t at war with Iran, ‘we’re at war with Iran’s nuclear program,’ Vance says

[Rob C]

Like a conversation with a door.

[Robert Roaldi]

Up is down. Black is white.

[Rob C]

Well, Boom!

I hoped it wouldn’t come to it, but I guess that nuclear weapons in the “wrong” hands are a threat too far. It is inevitable that a country that has the possibility of realising their production will try to make it happen. Other states have them, but don’t have the religious fervour that’s the underlying cause of such concern. Thus, with the secular states, any use of their ultimate weaponry will be carefully considered long in advance. Suicide vests are not generally popular choices that people make. What we can be sure about is that the West will now be on very high alert regarding its ethnic minorities; if it isn’t, it must be mad.

Pakistan must have many worried citizens today. Now, nothing is off the table. I suspect, too, that more than one Middle Eastern state will be more than a little relieved to see at least one noisy neighbour rendered less of a close threat. It remains to be seen if this escalates into a total flattening, or whether it stops at nuclear installations. If there is any messing with shipping in the Gulf of Hormuz, that'll be enough to bring down the curtain. Let’s hope they know that and use their heads.

Not a good time to be an immigrant these coming days, especially if any terrorist events take place. Let’s hope they do not.

[Ray]

Latest news:

"Iran’s parliament has voted to close the Strait of Hormuz, the vital shipping channel through which around 20 per cent of the world’s daily oil flows."

I wonder if the US will be able to protect the ships passing through this strait. For more details, read the following article.

https://www.skynews.com.au/world-news/global-affairs/iran-orders-closure-of-strait-of-hormuz-putting-onefifth-of-worlds-oil-supply-at-risk/news-story/e2e2fd9cef43d60ae19d251a7af195db

However, from the above article:

"It will come into effect pending a final decision by Iran’s Supreme Council.
The Supreme Council’s decision must be made by tonight, according to Iran’s state-run Press TV."

[Rob C]

Well, if they do attack the Straight, they will estrange the world - not to mention their important neighbours. Perhaps the solution, the regime change that’s truly required, will come from within. Let’s face it, the younger people are already sick to death with seeing themselves as the uncool, denied generation of current days. Hong Kong youth did its best, and lost out to the crush of Chinese might; the equation isn’t so heavily agin the youth in Iran, and I bet many of those older people not employed by the gang are just as wistfully considering freedom, and unlike with HK, external help could come. I could see a lot of women would welcome that. Having said which, when you have a crowd running the UK, a political crowd afraid to stand up and define what is a woman, you have to wonder at the lack of political balls that’s in power. I guess that nobody can accuse Trump of the lack of balls, and I don’t mean golf.

[Robert Roaldi]

Well, if they do attack the Straight, they will estrange the world - not to mention their important neighbours. Perhaps the solution, the regime change that’s truly required, will come from within. Let’s face it, the younger people are already sick to death with seeing themselves as the uncool, denied generation of current days. Hong Kong youth did its best, and lost out to the crush of Chinese might; the equation isn’t so heavily agin the youth in Iran, and I bet many of those older people not employed by the gang are just as wistfully considering freedom, and unlike with HK, external help could come. I could see a lot of women would welcome that. Having said which, when you have a crowd running the UK, a political crowd afraid to stand up and define what is a woman, you have to wonder at the lack of political balls that’s in power. I guess that nobody can accuse Trump of the lack of balls, and I don’t mean golf.

Maybe the CIA and MI6 can install the Shah again, that worked out well the last time.

Thing is that the religious fundamentalists in charge there have a lot in common with the Christian Nationalists back in the USA. But then there's that damn oil in the ground. Did Jesus ever mention what to do about that?

[Rob C]

So, retaliation came quickly, but with a warning. What kind of bullshit war is this, advising the target of your intentions? It turns it into an expensive game for public consumption. Nothing is what it was, nothing is real - as I think Lennon declared. I’ll show you my tokens and then you can show me yours. Perhaps Russia could play that in Ukraine… save a lot of lives.

Just heard that several presumed migrants from boats have been found dead in the sea off the Canaries, but bound, hand and foot. Life on an illegal trip is clearly more than it seems to be. What in hell’s going on down there, I wonder? Were the bodies ever even migrants? Could they be stowaways found on a regular ship and just tossed overboard, on the assumption that if found, they will be presumed, as is happening, to be from the small boats?

I suspected my iPhone was losing charge unusually quickly, the past two or three days. Two hours ago it indicated it had about 70% charge left; I put it down, went off to do the dishes, and now the screen shows an outline of an iPhone with a red line at the bottom of the drawing. On plugging it in to charge, it shows itself to have 1% charge left.

It is almost exactly three years old. (iPhone 13 Mini). Is this indicative of a dead/dying battery? I don’t think you can change the battery on that model. My old Samsung went through three of them (batteries) before I gave up, mainly because dialogue between it and my daughter’s Apple product stopped being possible. I’d hate to be rushed into a replacement 16 so near to the arrival of the 17. ;-(

[degrub]

Look in Settings, Battery, Battery Health : Maximum Capacity . Reply with the % it indicates.

You may have been in a weak signal area for cell or were on wifi and had wifi signal issues. Bluetooth will also drain a battery, but a bit slower in my experience.  Both wifi and cell will run a battery down quickly.  You can change a setting on the Settings, Battery  page to Turn ON Low Power Mode which will help extend your battery usage time on a single charge. It also turns off the screen very quickly.

If you need to replace the battery, and that phone is still on the Apple support list, an Apple battery will be available. Should be, according to US Apple website,  about 89 USD equivalent in Euros.  Battery should be good for at least 2 years . If not on the Apple support list, then a generic battery replacement should be around 50-70 USD equivalent and would be expected to last at least a year, maybe,,repeat, maybe up to 2 years. The Apple batteries are expected to give about 3000 full charge cycles from new. Takes 1-2 days at Apple store when in stock. Maybe same day if not busy. If using a 3rd party, make sure they are an official Apple certified repair shop.

EDIT - best i can tell it is still supported so an Apple battery should be available.

[Rob C]

Look in Settings, Battery, Battery Health : Maximum Capacity . Reply with the % it indicates.

You may have been in a weak signal area for cell or were on wifi and had wifi signal issues. Bluetooth will also drain a battery, but a bit slower in my experience.  Both wifi and cell will run a battery down quickly.  You can change a setting on the Settings, Battery  page to Turn ON Low Power Mode which will help extend your battery usage time on a single charge. It also turns off the screen very quickly.

If you need to replace the battery, and that phone is still on the Apple support list, an Apple battery will be available. Should be, according to US Apple website,  about 89 USD equivalent in Euros.  Battery should be good for at least 2 years . If not on the Apple support list, then a generic battery replacement should be around 50-70 USD equivalent and would be expected to last at least a year, maybe,,repeat, maybe up to 2 years. The Apple batteries are expected to give about 3000 full charge cycles from new. Takes 1-2 days at Apple store when in stock. Maybe same day if not busy. If using a 3rd party, make sure they are an official Apple certified repair shop.

EDIT - best i can tell it is still supported so an Apple battery should be available.

Maximum Capacity: 86%



Last night, midnight: 56%

This morning, 9a.m. : 48% (Not used between these readings)

I put it back on charge, and, at 10.30a.m. : 100%.

I’ll leave it alone until later (waiting for a plumber to call!) and see if it might have been something I did or just a freak experience. I can’t understand why it says it can now only do 86%, yet still indicated that it had received 100% charge. Maybe that means 100% of 86%…

Thanks for your help; much appreciated.

Rob

[degrub]

The battery is healthy. No need to replace. When it starts showing maximum capacity less than 80 %, then consider replacing the battery.

So your issue is usage.

The phone is always contacting the cell tower and any wifi it is linked to. Normally, this does not consume much. That's how Apple and others can claim "one week on a full charge" of usage. The real world is different with the phone trying to connect to weak cell, wifi, bluetooth, etc. If the cell signal is 1 bar, the battery will be used faster.  So maybe sit at a table with a window looking straight at the cell antenna 

There can also be apps that are active even when phone is not being used.
 
If you scroll down further on the Settings, Battery page, you will see  a list of apps from highest usage to lowest. So if this was a recent change in battery usage, look for a new app or updated app on that list with a high usage. For example, when i play Solitaire on my phone, it consumed 86 % of all battery usage. My battery will go from 85 % charge to 40 % charge in a couple hour session of Solitaire.

Also, to keep the battery as healthy as possible, only use an Apple charger and cable or one that is certified by Apple. Anything else, many times, will not regulate the charging rate very well if at all. For example, i have a car charger, that will charge my phone in 10-20 minutes from about 30% to 100%. My Apple charger takes more than an hour.  Using quick charging or poorly regulated charging will degrade the battery over time. Best time to use it is to charge between 30 and 80 % charge, if you use it at all.

In general, avoid letting the battery get below 10-20% and more than 90% charged. Going below or above, can reduce the lifetime of the battery by up to 10 % according to Apple. Going below 10% charge is likely to shorten the battery life significantly if done repeatedly. The upcoming IOS software is said to implement further charging optimizations and controls to extend battery life as much as possible.

Your battery does not benefit from charging over 86 %. You may get a little bit of usage out of it by charging above that, but it is degrading the battery faster to do so.

[Rob C]

Thanks again, degrub, for your continued help!

Going through the process you outlined, the security system shows 69%; WhattsApp 20%; Home & Lock Screen 7%; Settings 3%; Messages 1%.

Rob

[degrub]

You have an app for the security system at your place ?
Maybe turn off or disable that app when not needed ?
Or
you might be able to turn off WIFI in Settings and then turn on when you need to access internet or accessing the security system. Existing connections will come back automatically. If you have to use "find me" sometimes to find your phone, turning off WIFI will make that more difficult.

Either way, notice the strength of the WIFI connection and the CELL connection (LTE ?) as you move around . If either is sitting at one bar, then that will use more battery charge than if both are at 3-4 bars.