Pages: 1 ... 524 525 [526] 527 528 ... 910   Go Down

Author Topic: Bear Pit: now the sole domicile of politics at LuLa  (Read 1296834 times)

LesPalenik

  • Sr. Member
  • ****
  • Offline Offline
  • Posts: 5338
    • advantica blog
Re: Bear Pit: now the sole domicile of politics at LuLa
« Reply #10500 on: May 18, 2021, 09:12:02 am »

He is a smart guy but I wonder at his young age under 30 whether he has the experience to be an executive of a big state like California.

He is smarter than most 60-year old guys. I just finished watching a 2 hour long interview with Warren Redlich and Kevin. Excellent video, hopefully he will become the governor.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JXurT7uzB_Y
Logged

Alan Klein

  • Sr. Member
  • ****
  • Offline Offline
  • Posts: 15850
    • Flicker photos
Re: Bear Pit: now the sole domicile of politics at LuLa
« Reply #10501 on: May 18, 2021, 09:24:04 am »

He is smarter than most 60-year old guys. I just finished watching a 2 hour long interview with Warren Redlich and Kevin. Excellent video, hopefully he will become the governor.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JXurT7uzB_Y
Sitting behind a YouTube camera interviewing and analyzing real estate and the stock markets is not political executive experience.  Plus, he's only experienced bull markets in both areas.  So he's made a lot of money that he likes to brag about, not very humble. I think he should wait until he experiences a reversal of fortune when the real estate and stock markets collapse and he gets humbled a little.  Let him run for mayor first. Then he'll be in a better position to give advice and run things for a whole state like California.  At 29, he hasn't experienced life yet.

LesPalenik

  • Sr. Member
  • ****
  • Offline Offline
  • Posts: 5338
    • advantica blog
Re: Bear Pit: now the sole domicile of politics at LuLa
« Reply #10502 on: May 18, 2021, 09:32:31 am »

Sitting behind a YouTube camera interviewing and analyzing real estate and the stock markets is not political executive experience.  Plus, he's only experienced bull markets in both areas.  So he's made a lot of money that he likes to brag about, not very humble. I think he should wait until he experiences a reversal of fortune when the real estate and stock markets collapse and he gets humbled a little.  Let him run for mayor first. Then he'll be in a better position to give advice and run things for a whole state like California.  At 29, he hasn't experienced life yet.

He is much smarter than you or me. In the second video he appears more humble and knowledgeable than in his regular videos.
Such talent should be put to use now, not 10 years from now when California is completely broke.
Logged

Alan Klein

  • Sr. Member
  • ****
  • Offline Offline
  • Posts: 15850
    • Flicker photos
Re: Bear Pit: now the sole domicile of politics at LuLa
« Reply #10503 on: May 18, 2021, 09:40:45 am »

He is much smarter than you or me. In the second video he appears more humble and knowledgeable than in his regular videos.
Such talent should be put to use now, not 10 years from now when California is completely broke.
Well, Californians don't seem particularly good at picking their governors.  Maybe Cuomo could get the job.   :)

LesPalenik

  • Sr. Member
  • ****
  • Offline Offline
  • Posts: 5338
    • advantica blog
Re: Bear Pit: now the sole domicile of politics at LuLa
« Reply #10504 on: May 18, 2021, 11:09:26 am »

Well, Californians don't seem particularly good at picking their governors. 

That's why they need Kevin. He moved about ten years ago to California from Florida. Now many Californians move to Florida (or Texas).
I spoke today with a friend who grew up in California and now lives in Sarasota, Florida. She watched also Kevin's video and is rooting for him. She also said that if she still lived in California, she would campaign for Kevin.  If you ever get to watching Kevin's interview with Warren Redlich, look at the viewers comments. It's amazing how many sent him their first donations and most of them don't even live in CA.
Logged

James Clark

  • Sr. Member
  • ****
  • Offline Offline
  • Posts: 2347
Re: Bear Pit: now the sole domicile of politics at LuLa
« Reply #10505 on: May 18, 2021, 03:19:48 pm »

He is much smarter than you or me. In the second video he appears more humble and knowledgeable than in his regular videos.
Such talent should be put to use now, not 10 years from now when California is completely broke.

California has a 75 Billion budget surplus.   

As an aside, the idea that masses of people are fleeing CA and it's a failing state is... suspect.
Logged

LesPalenik

  • Sr. Member
  • ****
  • Offline Offline
  • Posts: 5338
    • advantica blog
Re: Bear Pit: now the sole domicile of politics at LuLa
« Reply #10506 on: May 18, 2021, 04:07:32 pm »

California has a 75 Billion budget surplus.   

As an aside, the idea that masses of people are fleeing CA and it's a failing state is... suspect.

I presume, the surplus is due to the high taxes and various permit fees collected from their residents.
As to the exodus, this has been going on for a long time. The group who leaves are the high earners and coming in are primarily the fresh immigrants from south.
Logged

JoeKitchen

  • Sr. Member
  • ****
  • Offline Offline
  • Posts: 5080
Re: Bear Pit: now the sole domicile of politics at LuLa
« Reply #10507 on: May 18, 2021, 04:13:28 pm »

CA's gets much of its taxes from taxing the rich on things like investments. 

So, during a year when most small businesses were closed, which then forced people to shop at larger publicly traded companies and caused the stock market to artificially increase in value, it makes sense CA has a surplus.  Although this may have help CA out this year, it is simply not a healthy way for a state to collect its tax revenue because it is an inconsistent way to generate money and produces incentives for wealthy people to move out of state. 

The money that rich people make on investments is volatile and will increase/decrease based on the market.  This means that the tax revenue CA collects will be unpredictable, change rather drastically from year to year, and make it impossible for the state to plan long term with any amount of accuracy.  Not to mention if the market suddenly crashes and we enter a new natural recession, their budget will be screwed. 

On top of that, taxing wealthy people at high rates causes them to move out of state and/or change their strategy.  Of course, there needs to be other conditions as well such as can your business operate in another state or can you?  Up until recently, the idea that a tech company could exist outside of CA was suspect, since the only support economy for tech was in CA.  That is now different, which is why Tesla could so easily move out of the state, along with Oracle and HP.  On top of that, working from home is now much more feasible with faster Internet.  Then you through in the homeless issues, failing schools, highways, etc., and you have a perfect storm encouraging people to move out of state, which is what we are seeing.  I predict that this summer with have more rolling blackouts, and since many will still be working from home on Zoom, this will greatly effect productivity.  You cant run a tech industry without consistent power, so that will another nail in the coffin. 

Hey, but they still have the best weather in the country, if you dont count forest fires. 

All of this is reflected in the fact that for the last 3 decades, every time there is a recession, it takes longer for CA to recover then the country.  The length of additional time it takes for CA to recover compared to the rest of country has been increasing too with each new recession. 

(I also cant help but think that the best use of this money would be to pay off part of their $362B of debt.  Sure, $75M is a drop in the bucket compared to that figure, but you have to start somewhere.  Instead they are just going to pay more people not to work.)

It is a much better idea for a state to make its money from things that are consistent, like property taxes or a flat income tax.  The revenue collected is fairly consistent, allowing for long term planning, and it does not produce incentives for people to leave the state. 

But anyway, let them have their fun.  As a commercial photographer, I wont be visiting anytime soon.  I know too many that had all their gear stolen within 15 minutes of driving out of the airport. 
Logged
"Photography is one percent inspiration and ninety-nine percent

Alan Klein

  • Sr. Member
  • ****
  • Offline Offline
  • Posts: 15850
    • Flicker photos
Re: Bear Pit: now the sole domicile of politics at LuLa
« Reply #10508 on: May 18, 2021, 04:34:15 pm »

I presume, the surplus is due to the high taxes and various permit fees collected from their residents.
As to the exodus, this has been going on for a long time. The group who leaves are the high earners and coming in are primarily the fresh immigrants from south.
"Fresh immigrants"? What a nice way of putting it. Maybe we can send back the spoiled ones?

Alan Klein

  • Sr. Member
  • ****
  • Offline Offline
  • Posts: 15850
    • Flicker photos
Re: Bear Pit: now the sole domicile of politics at LuLa
« Reply #10509 on: May 18, 2021, 04:39:58 pm »

That's why they need Kevin. He moved about ten years ago to California from Florida. Now many Californians move to Florida (or Texas).
I spoke today with a friend who grew up in California and now lives in Sarasota, Florida. She watched also Kevin's video and is rooting for him. She also said that if she still lived in California, she would campaign for Kevin.  If you ever get to watching Kevin's interview with Warren Redlich, look at the viewers comments. It's amazing how many sent him their first donations and most of them don't even live in CA.
Newsom the current governor plans on buying his votes by returning $500 to every taxpayer and voter.  Well, it's really redistributing it since the taxes are being returned to people who mainly didn't pay them.   Meanwhile, California has a budget surplus, yet the American taxpayers are giving California around $26 billion for COvid that they apparently don't need since they're $76B in surplus.  How stupid and wasteful are we?

Robert Roaldi

  • Sr. Member
  • ****
  • Offline Offline
  • Posts: 5513
    • Robert's Photos
Re: Bear Pit: now the sole domicile of politics at LuLa
« Reply #10510 on: May 18, 2021, 05:55:08 pm »

Newsom the current governor plans on buying his votes by returning $500 to every taxpayer and voter.  ...

When Trump introduced tax cuts, was he buying votes?
Logged
--
Robert

Chris Kern

  • Sr. Member
  • ****
  • Offline Offline
  • Posts: 2204
    • Chris Kern's Eponymous Website
Re: Bear Pit: now the sole domicile of politics at LuLa
« Reply #10511 on: May 18, 2021, 06:16:15 pm »

When Trump introduced tax cuts, was he buying votes?

Trump didn't introduce the tax cut bill he eventually signed; then speaker of the House of Representatives Paul Ryan assembled its provisions during a protracted negotiation with factions in the Republican Party in Congress.  (There was no Democratic Party support for the bill.)

It's not even apparent whether Trump ever understood what was in the Ryan proposal; it was early in his administration and he clearly had no clue regarding the responsibilities of the president.  He was still behaving as though winning election had launched him into a new reality television series.  This approach to "governing" continued well into his four-year term.

The 2017 tax law was a disaster in many respects.  It disproportionately provided benefits to wealthy taxpayers who invested the proceeds rather than spending them in a manner that might have helped the national economy.  It didn't provide any significant benefits to the working-class voters in the northern industrial states who had produced Trump's surprise electoral victory.

But of all the disasters of the Trump Administration, this arguably is the one for which he was least responsible.

LesPalenik

  • Sr. Member
  • ****
  • Offline Offline
  • Posts: 5338
    • advantica blog
Re: Bear Pit: now the sole domicile of politics at LuLa
« Reply #10512 on: May 18, 2021, 09:39:27 pm »

Newsom the current governor plans on buying his votes by returning $500 to every taxpayer and voter.  Well, it's really redistributing it since the taxes are being returned to people who mainly didn't pay them.   Meanwhile, California has a budget surplus, yet the American taxpayers are giving California around $26 billion for COvid that they apparently don't need since they're $76B in surplus.  How stupid and wasteful are we?

He also reported today Kevin Paffrath to Instagram and had one of his Instagram posts deleted. In the allegedly offending post, Kevin referred to Newsom as a weenie-baby.
Kevin's campaign donations reached in the first 24 hours over $36,000. Not bad considering that Kevin hasn't started the official campaigning yet.
Logged

Alan Klein

  • Sr. Member
  • ****
  • Offline Offline
  • Posts: 15850
    • Flicker photos
Re: Bear Pit: now the sole domicile of politics at LuLa
« Reply #10513 on: May 18, 2021, 11:05:46 pm »

Trump didn't introduce the tax cut bill he eventually signed; then speaker of the House of Representatives Paul Ryan assembled its provisions during a protracted negotiation with factions in the Republican Party in Congress.  (There was no Democratic Party support for the bill.)

It's not even apparent whether Trump ever understood what was in the Ryan proposal; it was early in his administration and he clearly had no clue regarding the responsibilities of the president.  He was still behaving as though winning election had launched him into a new reality television series.  This approach to "governing" continued well into his four-year term.

The 2017 tax law was a disaster in many respects.  It disproportionately provided benefits to wealthy taxpayers who invested the proceeds rather than spending them in a manner that might have helped the national economy.  It didn't provide any significant benefits to the working-class voters in the northern industrial states who had produced Trump's surprise electoral victory.

But of all the disasters of the Trump Administration, this arguably is the one for which he was least responsible.
Trump favored reducing taxes from the beginning despite your charge he wasn't knowledgeable about it.  Also, lowering taxes always benefits an economy.  It's not lowering commensurate spending that creates an ongoing problem. 

Alan Klein

  • Sr. Member
  • ****
  • Offline Offline
  • Posts: 15850
    • Flicker photos
Re: Bear Pit: now the sole domicile of politics at LuLa
« Reply #10514 on: May 18, 2021, 11:10:46 pm »

He also reported today Kevin Paffrath to Instagram and had one of his Instagram posts deleted. In the allegedly offending post, Kevin referred to Newsom as a weenie-baby.
Kevin's campaign donations reached in the first 24 hours over $36,000. Not bad considering that Kevin hasn't started the official campaigning yet.
It seems that social media is shutting down speech again this time to help the encumbent governor Newsom.  All those who argued media should silence "offending" speech are watching how these things can go full circle.  The chickens are coming home to roost.

LesPalenik

  • Sr. Member
  • ****
  • Offline Offline
  • Posts: 5338
    • advantica blog
Re: Bear Pit: now the sole domicile of politics at LuLa
« Reply #10515 on: May 19, 2021, 12:09:00 am »

It seems that social media is shutting down speech again this time to help the encumbent governor Newsom.  All those who argued media should silence "offending" speech are watching how these things can go full circle.  The chickens are coming home to roost.

Apparently in the past, Facebook and specifically Zuckerberg contributed substantially to Newsom campaign chest. Maybe now, with Kevin Paffrath and Kaitlyn Jenner challenging Newsom, those contributions will be smaller.
Logged

Robert Roaldi

  • Sr. Member
  • ****
  • Offline Offline
  • Posts: 5513
    • Robert's Photos
Re: Bear Pit: now the sole domicile of politics at LuLa
« Reply #10516 on: May 19, 2021, 06:39:25 am »

I hope the recount soap opera in Arizona ends soon, it's embarrassing to watch https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/554199-arizona-recount-creates-backlash-in-state.
Logged
--
Robert

Chris Kern

  • Sr. Member
  • ****
  • Offline Offline
  • Posts: 2204
    • Chris Kern's Eponymous Website
Re: Bear Pit: now the sole domicile of politics at LuLa
« Reply #10517 on: May 19, 2021, 10:02:26 am »

I hope the recount soap opera in Arizona ends soon, it's embarrassing to watch.

The Arizona state senate learned a harsh lesson last year: once democracy starts to break out, it can spread uncontrollably.  The state's senior Republican Party officials have realized that democracy has no respect for borders.  They note that Arizona is virtually surrounded by Nevada, California, Colorado, and New Mexico—states that voted for President Biden—and they are determined to do whatever it takes to bring the contagion back under control.

Alan Klein

  • Sr. Member
  • ****
  • Offline Offline
  • Posts: 15850
    • Flicker photos
Re: Bear Pit: now the sole domicile of politics at LuLa
« Reply #10518 on: May 19, 2021, 10:10:59 am »

Apparently in the past, Facebook and specifically Zuckerberg contributed substantially to Newsom campaign chest. Maybe now, with Kevin Paffrath and Kaitlyn Jenner challenging Newsom, those contributions will be smaller.
Maybe now demcorats will join republicans in stopping these monopolies from exercising censorship over free speech.  Of course, Newsom is a Democrat so this one works for them.  But what goes around comes around. 

JoeKitchen

  • Sr. Member
  • ****
  • Offline Offline
  • Posts: 5080
Re: Bear Pit: now the sole domicile of politics at LuLa
« Reply #10519 on: May 19, 2021, 01:52:33 pm »

The Arizona state senate learned a harsh lesson last year: once democracy starts to break out, it can spread uncontrollably.  The state's senior Republican Party officials have realized that democracy has no respect for borders.  They note that Arizona is virtually surrounded by Nevada, California, Colorado, and New Mexico—states that voted for President Biden—and they are determined to do whatever it takes to bring the contagion back under control.

So are you implying that elections which Democrats do not win are not actual legit elections? 
Logged
"Photography is one percent inspiration and ninety-nine percent
Pages: 1 ... 524 525 [526] 527 528 ... 910   Go Up