For those like joe who want an estimate of how many weeks their lives might be disrupted for - this appeared on the BBC website today. A few options, but none of them particularly rosy......
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-51963486
Jim
Here in Portugal, the facts:~
- first case reported march 2
- state of emergency declared march 16: everything closed down except essencial services (supermarkets, pharmacies, take away restaurants, etc). Social distancing, i.e 4 people per 100sqm in supermarkets, etc.
- specific measures to protect the eldery. 30 dead today, 26 of which above 70 years old.
-specific economic measures in place to support small and medium sized companies, which represent the large part of our economy. People stay at home still working by remote means, receive 70% of their salary. Dealy tax payments, etc.
- Plan is to peak the epidemics mid-April, tail end into May, start to recover in June.
- Before march 16, daily growth rate in number of cases was ~40%, today is around 20%. There is a lag period until the results are seen, given the nature of the bug.
- Closing down schools was essential, as many cases came from kids with no symptoms.
- It was a pity that the EU did not enforce planned airport shutdowns, each country took ad hoc measures, which was not efficient.