Erik, some random observations and comments, none are scientific, all are from experience:
The image is mildly under exposed, I'd say 1.5 stops (for the face). Not ideal for generating profiles and slightly harder than normal to find the correct WB
There is no grey card or a colour chart in the image, so creating a profile based on this image is a hit and miss, most likely a miss...
However, I suggest the following: Open it in Capture One (leaving it with the default flash profile), set WB to 4800K and -4.0 (tint), push the exposure up 2/3rds of a stop and set saturation to +10.
At least for me this seems to give a "nice" skin tone and an overall natural look especially to the Red shirt. IMO a natural, make-up-less European skin tone will have certain amounts of Red, Yellow, Brown, Bleu Green in it.
BR
Yair