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Author Topic: Dow down 1900 in two days; Corona virus prediction?  (Read 42564 times)

LesPalenik

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Re: Dow down 1900 in two days; Corona virus prediction?
« Reply #80 on: February 29, 2020, 04:58:26 pm »

That needs to be put into perspective: annual death toll for the regular flu in 2018/2019 season (October through May) was 60K

Mortality rate for coronavirus is about 10 times worse than for seasonal influenza. If the infection rate stays where it is now, we'll be OK. but if it is not contained, it could get much more serious than the flu.
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Craig Lamson

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Re: Dow down 1900 in two days; Corona virus prediction?
« Reply #81 on: February 29, 2020, 05:09:26 pm »

Must be a Democrat hoax.  Trump said yesterday everyone was doing better.

I don't believe he did.  I think I remember him saying one person was not doing so well.  I'm really to lazy to go look though.
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Craig Lamson

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Re: Dow down 1900 in two days; Corona virus prediction?
« Reply #82 on: February 29, 2020, 05:10:44 pm »

Mortality rate for coronavirus is about 10 times worse than for seasonal influenza. If the infection rate stays where it is now, we'll be OK. but if it is not contained, it could get much more serious than the flu.

It will be interesing to see how the mortality rates change here is the US if they do. 
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Alan Klein

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Re: Dow down 1900 in two days; Corona virus prediction?
« Reply #83 on: February 29, 2020, 05:41:21 pm »

I watched TRump's news conference today on coronavirus where he brought in all the key players who will handle the crises.  They seem to have a handle on government action.  Trump started a month ago shutting down routes from China to protect America while the Democrats were busy impeaching him and wasting everyone's time.  Today Trump signed a peace deal in Afghanistan with the Taliban so he can bring home American troops.  Trump's a man of action who gets things done.  His enemies just call him names. 

Robert Roaldi

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Re: Dow down 1900 in two days; Corona virus prediction?
« Reply #84 on: March 01, 2020, 08:21:49 am »

I watched TRump's news conference today on coronavirus where he brought in all the key players who will handle the crises.  They seem to have a handle on government action.  Trump started a month ago shutting down routes from China to protect America while the Democrats were busy impeaching him and wasting everyone's time.  Today Trump signed a peace deal in Afghanistan with the Taliban so he can bring home American troops.  Trump's a man of action who gets things done.  His enemies just call him names.

Such a pandemic team used to be part of the swamp not long ago, https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/trump-fire-pandemic-team/?fbclid=IwAR0qP22I61nEHVUnFfI-3Owtvnbt3oTUbIO4OwH8sMSUwt8lKlQ-Td_rILc, so he got rid of them.

Don't get me wrong, I hope the team that he put into place does a fantastic job. That's EXACTLY the kind of thing public authorities should be doing. And they were doing it till he fired them. I guess this way he can claim credit. Most people can probably live with that so long as it works, that's what a lot politics is now, feeding narcissists' egos.
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petermfiore

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Re: Dow down 1900 in two days; Corona virus prediction?
« Reply #85 on: March 01, 2020, 08:31:02 am »

Such a pandemic team used to be part of the swamp not long ago, https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/trump-fire-pandemic-team/?fbclid=IwAR0qP22I61nEHVUnFfI-3Owtvnbt3oTUbIO4OwH8sMSUwt8lKlQ-Td_rILc, so he got rid of them.

that's what a lot politics is now, feeding narcissists' egos.

Sadly true, but feeding EGO, has been a lot longer then just now...

Peter

Robert Roaldi

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Re: Dow down 1900 in two days; Corona virus prediction?
« Reply #86 on: March 01, 2020, 08:32:33 am »

Sadly true, but feeding EGO, has been a lot longer then just now...

Peter

Yes, quite correct.
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LesPalenik

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Re: Dow down 1900 in two days; Corona virus prediction?
« Reply #87 on: March 01, 2020, 11:42:06 am »

Trump stated that a lot of affected people are getting better. He said that 22 people were currently ill with the virus, including four he said are “very ill.” In fact, 70 cases have been reported in the country.

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/02/29/us/politics/trump-coronavirus.html
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Craig Lamson

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Re: Dow down 1900 in two days; Corona virus prediction?
« Reply #88 on: March 01, 2020, 01:20:27 pm »

Trump stated that a lot of affected people are getting better. He said that 22 people were currently ill with the virus, including four he said are “very ill.” In fact, 70 cases have been reported in the country.

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/02/29/us/politics/trump-coronavirus.html

So tell me, was Trump correct given the information he was given at the time or is the Times spreading fake news by using number from a different time frame. 
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Jeremy Roussak

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Re: Dow down 1900 in two days; Corona virus prediction?
« Reply #89 on: March 01, 2020, 01:33:36 pm »

Mortality rate for coronavirus is about 10 times worse than for seasonal influenza.

That depends entirely on the accuracy of the reported figures. While the death figure is probably reasonably accurate, the number of cases is likely to be a significant underestimate, as it will probably exclude all those who have only mild symptoms.

Jeremy
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chez

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Re: Dow down 1900 in two days; Corona virus prediction?
« Reply #90 on: March 01, 2020, 04:19:59 pm »

That depends entirely on the accuracy of the reported figures. While the death figure is probably reasonably accurate, the number of cases is likely to be a significant underestimate, as it will probably exclude all those who have only mild symptoms.

Jeremy

But that's true for the Corona flu as well as the normal yearly flu. In fact I'd say given the focus on the Corona virus I would say the reported numbers are more accurate than the reported numbers for the regular flu.
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LesPalenik

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Re: Dow down 1900 in two days; Corona virus prediction?
« Reply #91 on: March 01, 2020, 04:59:23 pm »

So tell me, was Trump correct given the information he was given at the time or is the Times spreading fake news by using number from a different time frame.

Based on Trump's various other earlier statements that turned out to be inaccurate, there is a high likelihood that also his coronavirus numbers didn't reflect the latest situation.
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Craig Lamson

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Re: Dow down 1900 in two days; Corona virus prediction?
« Reply #92 on: March 01, 2020, 07:24:15 pm »

Based on Trump's various other earlier statements that turned out to be inaccurate, there is a high likelihood that also his coronavirus numbers didn't reflect the latest situation.

Are you really serious?  He was standing with memebers of the CDC and had just finished a meeting with a much larger group.  One would think they would have the most up to date information.  So in your world, Trump, having just finished meeting on the topic and standing with the members of the team, just made it up, instead of the New York Times using a number from an unknown time frame writing to make Trump look bad. 

OK, if thats your story so be it.  Not a very good look for you.
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LesPalenik

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Re: Dow down 1900 in two days; Corona virus prediction?
« Reply #93 on: March 01, 2020, 07:56:45 pm »

Are you really serious?  He was standing with memebers of the CDC and had just finished a meeting with a much larger group.  One would think they would have the most up to date information.  So in your world, Trump, having just finished meeting on the topic and standing with the members of the team, just made it up, instead of the New York Times using a number from an unknown time frame writing to make Trump look bad. 

OK, if thats your story so be it.  Not a very good look for you.

Are we talking about the same Trump?

Quote
President Trump misidentified the nation’s first coronavirus fatality as a “wonderful woman” on Saturday — the victim, in fact, was a man who died in a Seattle-area hospital, officials said.

https://nypost.com/2020/02/29/trump-misidentifies-first-us-coronavirus-fatality-calling-man-a-wonderful-woman/
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Craig Lamson

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Re: Dow down 1900 in two days; Corona virus prediction?
« Reply #94 on: March 01, 2020, 08:10:45 pm »

Are we talking about the same Trump?

https://nypost.com/2020/02/29/trump-misidentifies-first-us-coronavirus-fatality-calling-man-a-wonderful-woman/

Absolutely the same Trump.  So if youu want to stick with your story that Trump was 48 cases off after just talking to the people counting the cases, be my guest.  It still looks bad on you...

BTW, from your article...

“CDC erroneously identified the patient as female in a briefing earlier today with the President and Vice President.”
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LesPalenik

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Re: Dow down 1900 in two days; Corona virus prediction?
« Reply #95 on: March 01, 2020, 08:50:31 pm »

Absolutely the same Trump.  So if youu want to stick with your story that Trump was 48 cases off after just talking to the people counting the cases, be my guest.  It still looks bad on you...

BTW, from your article...

“CDC erroneously identified the patient as female in a briefing earlier today with the President and Vice President.”

So it looks like Trump is a truth teller, but for some reason sometimes he is fed wrong information by unreliable staff.
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Craig Lamson

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Re: Dow down 1900 in two days; Corona virus prediction?
« Reply #96 on: March 01, 2020, 09:19:42 pm »

So it looks like Trump is a truth teller, but for some reason sometimes he is fed wrong information by unreliable staff.

Yep, it’s a pretty fluid situation, but hey in your world the unreliable NYT is always right. 
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LesPalenik

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Re: Dow down 1900 in two days; Corona virus prediction?
« Reply #97 on: March 01, 2020, 09:25:57 pm »

Yep, it’s a pretty fluid situation, but hey in your world the unreliable NYT is always right.

Actually, I get most of my information from Reuters and Spiegel.
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Craig Lamson

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Re: Dow down 1900 in two days; Corona virus prediction?
« Reply #98 on: March 01, 2020, 09:33:31 pm »

Actually, I get most of my information from Reuters and Spiegel.

And yet you stared this nonsense with the NYT...
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LesPalenik

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Re: Dow down 1900 in two days; Corona virus prediction?
« Reply #99 on: March 01, 2020, 09:55:18 pm »

Usually, I start with Spiegel (they are surprisingly quick with reporting events in the whole world) and if I see an interesting article, instead of quoting it in German, I quickly look up that very topic on Google, and whatever comes first, I use for the quote. If you look at my previous posts, you'll see there all kinds of references (however, I avoid Al Jazeera, Chinadaily and Pravda). Sometimes, if I don't find equivalent article in the English press, I might attempt my own translation for the benefit of LuLa readers.

Here is the Spiegel article, which got my interest:
https://www.spiegel.de/politik/ausland/covid-19-in-den-usa-ansteckungsgefahr-fuer-wahlkampf-von-donald-trump-a-176144f1-d625-44a3-9e29-df498ef8f067
« Last Edit: March 01, 2020, 09:59:03 pm by LesPalenik »
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