It's been rather interesting reading the follow ups, and it appears there is only two real choices for the Dems, Joe Biden and everyone else. I cant see either option working out for the Dems, but give a higher chance for Joe.
The two main issues the Dems have with Trump is the economy is booming (and 71% of Americans think so) and Trump, for all intents and purposes, is a centrist. Now most of his policies are center right, but quite a few are center left, and with all of them, he is on the popular side. If you don't believe me, just look at the polling. Running against both of these is going to be hard.
In the case of Joe Biden, most think he is electable since he too is a centrist. For anyone else, I may agree. However, if Biden wins, he is going to limp across the finish line damaged goods. The progressives are hitting him so hard that what happened to Hillary, namely the progressives abandoned her, is going to happen to Biden. Not to mention he is a walking talking gaffe machine. Sure, Trump says some pretty wacky stuff, but so does Joe. He has been playing it safe right now, limiting off the cuff press interactions, but eventually he is going to have to interact more. This is going to produce a ton of gaffes that the Rubs will take full advantage of. Not to mention, his stance on China the majority of the country disagrees with and he was part of an administration that over saw the most anemic recover in decades.
Insofar as everyone else, they have moved so far to the left they are un-relatable to the general electorate, just like Romney predicted after Trump won. Look at their policies. Open borders, yes I know he said decriminalizing illegal border crossings, but that is essentially the same thing and impossible to argue against. Outlawing all private health coverage while implementing a single payer system. I do have to hand it to Bernie though; he's the only one who is being somewhat honest about how taxes will go up for everyone, even saying "people in this country would be delighted to pay more in taxes ..." Everyone else has been mum on this. Late-term abortions, I may be pro-choice, but the majority of the country is against late-term abortions. Many have double downed on slavery repatriations, which is incredibly unpopular. These are all policies that the majority of the country are against, emphatically, especially in the swing-states who really decide the election.
Now before anyone brings up polling, all polls for president right now are meaningless. Most Americans really don't fully understand the policy positions of the Dems, and when those policies start hitting home, those polls are going to change. On top of that, all of the polls that show a 10 point gap between Trump and a hypothetical Dem are of the general public, not the general electorate. If you look at all of the polls and go beyond that main figure, the numbers only show an 2 point average difference for registered voters for the same question. On top of this, we all know it is the electoral college that matters, not a popular vote. None of the polls are quantifying this in the polling, and they more then likely will not since it would make the polling much more complex and costly. It is also too early to start state by state polling, so we don't really know how the swing states are feeling.
If you still disagree with me, look at the recent news ratings. Fox News has been consistently the top rated national news channel by a fair amount. Tucker Carlson has been consistently the top rated national news show by a fair amount. This should give you an idea of where the pendulum is current swinging.
Joe, A lot can happen before the election. War, recession, etc. Also, the Democrat nominee will move to the center on issues for the general election. Americans won't remember what was said during the debates or care if they do. Also, as James mentioned, liberal cable news is split. And the main media arteries, the NY Times, Washington Post, ABC, NBC and CBS still control the airways with their liberal bias and anti-Trump rhetoric. Add Facebook, Twitter, Google, and all the other tech news outlets trending liberal; well you get my point. Fox is only one small outlet compared to the rest on the other side.
