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Author Topic: Global Cooling. The sky is falling.  (Read 152734 times)

LesPalenik

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Re: Global Cooling. The sky is falling.
« Reply #100 on: May 02, 2018, 08:49:03 am »


For the experiment to be scientifically sound, one would need to recruit a large number of twins and conduct the experiment over a number of decades, perhaps 30 or 40 or even 50 years. If, during the course of the long experiment, it was observed that a few of the twin pairs diverged significantly in their lifestyles, one of them perhaps not physically exercising nearly as much as the other, or experiencing a lot more emotional stress than the other, then those twins would have to be excluded from the results.

I don't think the above study is useful without more information about the lifestyles of the people included in the results, and details about how the information was collected. For example, what does a consumption of 355 kg of dairy products include. If person 'A' drinks one litre of milk per day, and takes no other dairy products, that still amounts to a yearly consumption of approximately 365 kg of dairy products. If person 'B' eats 1 kg of cheese day every day, and no other dairy products, then that represents a lot more energy than a litre of milk, but would still be described as a yearly consumption of 365 kg of dairy products.

There is also a significant anomaly in the above results you've quoted. Sweden with an annual dairy consumption of 355 kg and 802 bone fractures, and Finland with a slightly higher consumption of dairy products, 361 kg, yet a very significantly lower number of bone fractures, only 440.

That seems to me a very clear example that other significant factors are involved, which are not addressed in the study. Perhaps the major factor not addressed is the overweight and obesity problem.
The following study shows there is a strong connection between obesity, or simply being overweight, and the need for hip or knee replacement.
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2267551/

If you were to check the overweight and obesity percentages in those countries listed in your study, which have low rates of hip replacement which seem to correlate with low consumption of dairy products, you'd probably find the obesity rates are significantly lower than they are in Western countries, although obesity seems to be on the rise everywhere.


I would eliminate the obesity factor from this example. From my travels in seventies, as I recollect, both Finns and Swedes seemed about equally proportionate (although that could have changed in the recent years). A more probable reason to explain this anomaly could be that Finns drink more than their neighbours in other Nordic countries. Alcohol breaks down milk proteins and binds calcium from milk. Just my early morning hypothesis.
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Ray

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Re: Global Cooling. The sky is falling.
« Reply #101 on: May 02, 2018, 09:03:33 am »

That's wasted effort if we do not at the same time address the causes. There's little use in mopping while the tap is still running and flooding the floor.

Bart,
So I take it that you are in denial about the historical data which shows that extreme weather events, as great as, and often greater than, the current extreme weather events, have occurred in the past?

It certainly seems to be the case, but I guess you will deny that you are in a state of denial.  ;D
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Ray

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Re: Global Cooling. The sky is falling.
« Reply #102 on: May 02, 2018, 09:10:58 am »

I would eliminate the obesity factor from this example. From my travels in seventies, as I recollect, both Finns and Swedes seemed about equally proportionate (although that could have changed in the recent years). A more probable reason to explain this anomaly could be that Finns drink more than their neighbours in other Nordic countries. Alcohol breaks down milk proteins and binds calcium from milk. Just my early morning hypothesis.

Yes. Obesity and being overweight is just one factor in contributing to bone fractures. There are probably numerous other factors, including excessive alcohol consumption.
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RSL

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Re: Global Cooling. The sky is falling.
« Reply #103 on: May 02, 2018, 09:36:02 am »

I admire your way of trying to weasle out of this one, albeit unsuccessfull. It's really funny to see you cringe and try to be smart when you're caught on posting bullshit.
You are right you didn't specifically mention anything about the magnitude of the subsidence, but logically the only conclusion from your words can be that you believe it's bigger than the water rise.

Come on, Pieter, seems to me that even a blind man ought to be able to do better than this.

Yes, I'm right. I didn't mention anything about the magnitude of the subsidence because I don't know anything about the magnitude of the subsidence. I don't know about the magnitude of the rise in water level either, but since the place hasn't yet sunk into the ocean I can conclude that it's pretty small. As even Alan admitted "We don't have reliable sea level data going back as many years as we do average temperatures." In fact, we don't have enough data to make reasonable projections about any of this. But that's not gonna stop liars from figuring.
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RSL

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Re: Global Cooling. The sky is falling.
« Reply #104 on: May 02, 2018, 09:39:24 am »

It was the second of these two links Russ.  The second one was written in 2013

Jim

Okay, Jim. Then it's pretty obvious that instead of temperatures not rising for fifteen years we have to conclude that they haven't risen for twenty years.
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Bart_van_der_Wolf

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Re: Global Cooling. The sky is falling.
« Reply #105 on: May 02, 2018, 09:44:57 am »

Okay, Jim. Then it's pretty obvious that instead of temperatures not rising for fifteen years we have to conclude that they haven't risen for twenty years.

?

http://www.columbia.edu/~mhs119/Temperature/globalT_1880-1920base.pdf

Cheers,
Bart

P.S. I wouldn't recommend hiding under one's bed. Given the rising sea-levels, one might drown.

I'd recommend:
a.) start contributing to a solution that addresses the causes, and
b.) seek higher ground or build better defenses against the predicted water levels
c.) do both of the above, and doing it sooner will be less costly than doing it later.
« Last Edit: May 02, 2018, 09:50:51 am by BartvanderWolf »
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RSL

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Re: Global Cooling. The sky is falling.
« Reply #106 on: May 02, 2018, 10:23:42 am »

Cheers,
Bart

P.S. I wouldn't recommend hiding under one's bed. Given the rising sea-levels, one might drown.

I'd recommend:
a.) start contributing to a solution that addresses the causes, and
b.) seek higher ground or build better defenses against the predicted water levels
c.) do both of the above, and doing it sooner will be less costly than doing it later.

a.) Pretty hard to find a "solution" that addresses the causes when we don't know what the causes are. We're guessing the cause is CO2 but there's a ton of evidence that makes that assumption questionable at best.

b.) As far as building better defenses against predicted water levels is concerned, it's pretty hard to do that effectively when the "predicted" water levels are based on questionable assumptions and questionable computer algorithms.

c.) The sooner we do these foolish things the more money we'll waste.

And not least of all, d.) Try hiding under your bed, Bart. It'll make life in this terribly hazardous environment easier.
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digitaldog

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Re: Global Cooling. The sky is falling.
« Reply #107 on: May 02, 2018, 11:54:28 am »

a.) Pretty hard to find a "solution" that addresses the causes when we don't know what the causes are. We're guessing the cause is CO2 but there's a ton of evidence that makes that assumption questionable at best.
Yes we do and yes there is! Expect for fact deniers.  :-[
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RSL

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Re: Global Cooling. The sky is falling.
« Reply #108 on: May 02, 2018, 12:09:34 pm »

Okay Andrew, I'll bite. What should I "expect" from you fact deniers? More links to BS sites?
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Jim Pascoe

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Re: Global Cooling. The sky is falling.
« Reply #109 on: May 02, 2018, 12:17:40 pm »

Okay, Jim. Then it's pretty obvious that instead of temperatures not rising for fifteen years we have to conclude that they haven't risen for twenty years.

Is that true?  I don't have the data on that - or are you just making that up?

Jim
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RSL

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Re: Global Cooling. The sky is falling.
« Reply #110 on: May 02, 2018, 12:25:08 pm »

I don't know whether or not it's true any more than the people posting links to BS from the other side of the argument do. Point is, it's as likely to be true as any of the other crap you see on here. And that's the whole point. Nobody really knows anything about this subject. You can be sure that any "confirmed" data comes from a political point of view. If it comes from a "scientist" it's coming from a politically biased "scientist," or at least a scientist hoping it's true so he can get his name in lights.
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digitaldog

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Re: Global Cooling. The sky is falling.
« Reply #111 on: May 02, 2018, 12:34:40 pm »

Okay Andrew, I'll bite.
You didn't, you simply continue to deny the scientific facts; not a new tactic.
It is better to offer no excuse than a bad one” - George Washington
Quote
And that's the whole point. Nobody really knows anything about this subject.
Speak for yourself!
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Jim Pascoe

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Re: Global Cooling. The sky is falling.
« Reply #112 on: May 02, 2018, 01:14:59 pm »

I don't know whether or not it's true any more than the people posting links to BS from the other side of the argument do. Point is, it's as likely to be true as any of the other crap you see on here. And that's the whole point. Nobody really knows anything about this subject. You can be sure that any "confirmed" data comes from a political point of view. If it comes from a "scientist" it's coming from a politically biased "scientist," or at least a scientist hoping it's true so he can get his name in lights.

Because there may be doubt about a theory - doesn't mean just plucking anything out of the air and stating it, carries just as much weight.  I'm actually quite cynical about politics and 'experts'.  I do happen to think though that if humans tackle some of the suggested causes of Global Warming - we might just end up with a better planet.  The remedies seem unlikely to cause much harm if we are wrong.  If the 'scientists' are right, we may just reduce some of the negative impact.  To say nobody knows anything about the subject is like saying nobody knows anything about medicine.  There is so much we do not know about medicine, but that doesn't mean it's pointless to act on what we think is the right course now.

I'm not sure why you started this thread - especially as the linked article was from a tabloid news outlet (mostly click-bait) and four and a half years out of date anyway.  Is it just to stir up some ill feeling between the so called Looney Liberal Left and the good old gun-toting righteous Right.

Jim

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digitaldog

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Re: Global Cooling. The sky is falling.
« Reply #113 on: May 02, 2018, 01:23:28 pm »

I'm not sure why you started this thread - especially as the linked article was from a tabloid news outlet (mostly click-bait) and four and a half years out of date anyway.  Is it just to stir up some ill feeling between the so called Looney Liberal Left and the good old gun-toting righteous Right.
Jim
Bingo! Easier than working on one's 'photography skills'.
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RSL

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Re: Global Cooling. The sky is falling.
« Reply #114 on: May 02, 2018, 02:05:34 pm »

Because there may be doubt about a theory - doesn't mean just plucking anything out of the air and stating it, carries just as much weight.
Jim

In this case the theories about climate mostly are politically based and therefore are weightless. We probably could use them for transportation without contributing CO2 or anything else to the atmosphere. One thing we certainly shouldn't do is spend taxpayer money on them. If individuals want to spend their own money, more power to them. Barnum made a point about that.
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Bart_van_der_Wolf

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Re: Global Cooling. The sky is falling.
« Reply #115 on: May 02, 2018, 02:29:38 pm »

And here is an article that explores why the global temperature is not coming down, even fast enough to stay at no more than 1.5–2°C above pre-industrial levels by the end of this century:
https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-018-04931-6

Lot's of progress on renewable energy, but even more needs to be done to reduce the use of fossil fuel.

Cheers,
Bart

P.S. to avoid dead links, I've added a PDF of the article as an attachment. It's an article worth reading. It's not a scientific peer-reviewed paper, but it's not in just some other tabloid either.
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Jeremy Roussak

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Re: Global Cooling. The sky is falling.
« Reply #116 on: May 02, 2018, 02:36:31 pm »

Now now, boys (it is only boys, isn't it?), let's avoid insulting each other and play nicely.

We can confine argument to the certainties of science because, as Hilaire Belloc put it

Oh let us never, never doubt
What nobody is sure about.

Jeremy
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digitaldog

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Re: Global Cooling. The sky is falling.
« Reply #117 on: May 02, 2018, 02:38:19 pm »

The good thing about science is that it's true whether or not you believe in it ...” Neil deGrasse Tyson
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Jeremy Roussak

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Re: Global Cooling. The sky is falling.
« Reply #118 on: May 02, 2018, 02:43:33 pm »

The good thing about science is that it's true whether or not you believe in it ...” Neil deGrasse Tyson

Not true only of science, of course. There's a story about a nuclear physicist - it has various attributions, one to Niels Bohr - who kept a horseshoe on his door. When a friend said "surely you don't believe in that nonsense about luck", the physicist replied, "Of course not! But I've heard that it works, even if you don't believe in it".

Jeremy
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digitaldog

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Re: Global Cooling. The sky is falling.
« Reply #119 on: May 02, 2018, 02:46:12 pm »

Not true only of science, of course. There's a story about a nuclear physicist - it has various attributions, one to Niels Bohr - who kept a horseshoe on his door. When a friend said "surely you don't believe in that nonsense about luck", the physicist replied, "Of course not! But I've heard that it works, even if you don't believe in it".

Jeremy
Does it work? Where's the proof (scientific or otherwise) that it works? Lots of scientists believe in god; zero proof it (he/she) exists. And then there are scientists like Stephen Hawking who was an Atheist (dog bless his soul or is that sole).  :D
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