The 1Ds followed closely on the heels of the D60. The difference in pixel density ... was politely ignored by owners of the 1Ds ...[a href=\"index.php?act=findpost&pid=111595\"][{POST_SNAPBACK}][/a]
We agree of course.
However, that discrepancy of pixel density was soon rectified in the 16.7mp successor to the 1Ds, the 1Ds MkII.
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Two and a half years after the D60; not so "soon".
... in the meantime, the pixel count of one of the cropped formats has increased to 10mp and the others to 8mp.
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Exactly my point: by the time the 1DsMkII arrived, 2 1/2 years after the D60, EF-S format already had the 20D with higher pixel density than the 1DsMkII. EF-S (and other sub-35mm formats) have always offered a higher maximum pixel density that 35mm offers at the same time, and I see no trend of this gap closing.
Whilst I don't think it likely that the pixel density of the 400D will be matched in the next upgrade to either the 5D or the 1Ds2, it will not be atypical if Canon matches the pixel density of the 20D with a 22mp full frame.
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I agree that it would not be atypical for the next 1Ds model to do so. But a 22MP 1DsMkIII was not what you speculated about in your previous post, and nor is the current 8MP of the 30D what it would probably be competing with for pixel density available in high end EF-S models. The 30D still being at 8MP is an aberration given that everything around it is at 10MP and up, so 10MP or more in a high end EF-S format body seems likely soon. (Unless Canon shoots itself in its "EF-S" foot in an effort to prop up sales of entry-level 35mm format, accelerating Canon's recent decline in DSLR market share.)
Perhaps the successor to the 5D will be a mere 16.7mp, in which case it's unlikely I'll be getting one.
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Ah good; back to reality. The idea of jumping from 12.7MP in the 5D (it is not 12.8 you know!) to 22MP in a replacement only about two years later would be unprecedented, and to match a likely 10MP+ 30D successor would need 26MP, more than double the pixel count of the 5D. That would be a truly unprecedented increase in a single Canon upgrade step, or within two years.
For reference, here are some Canon models in chronological order of announcement date,with each new high of pixel density marked ***.
May 2000: D30 with 10.5 micron pixels
Sep. 2001: 1D with 11 micron pixels
Feb. 2002: D60 with 7.6 micron pixels ***
Sep. 2002: 1Ds with 9 micron pixels
Aug. 2004: 20D with 6.4 micron pixels ***
Sep. 2004: 1DsMkII with 7.2 micron pixels
Jan. 2004: 1DMkII with 8.2 micron pixels
Aug. 2005: 5D with 8.2 micron pixels
Aug. 2006: 400D with 5.7 micron pixels ***
Feb, 2007: 1DMkII with 7.2 micron pixels
In each case it takes two years or more from when a new smaller pixel spacing arrives in EF-S format before a 35mm format model matches or passes that pixel spacing, and by the time that happens, EF-S format already has a more recent sensor with smaller pixel spacing than that new 35mm model. And 1.3x lags behind 35mm. And "entry level 35mm" (5D) lags behind everything else.