The losses in the House are not a result of Republicans doing better, but the Democrats having done so well four years ago -- what happened, is that the Republicans took back seats that should never have been won by Democrats. Here in New Mexico, a very conservative Congresswoman who lost her seat to a Democrat two years ago, won it back, in a conservative district. As expected.
The Democratic agenda isn't exactly dead -- remember, Trump has been running things for two years with a Democratic House, and he still did a lot of (horrific) things. Biden can run things the same way, but, probably better, because he's a lot smarter and much more tuned in to the Deep State. So those things that the President can do on his own, which is a lot, will still be done. What I don't think we will see is a huge stimulus bill, which means a lot of Americans are going to be seriously hurting, and probably means a Democratic Senate in two years, under President Harris. (I'm going with my wife, who doesn't believe that Biden will make it for four years.) I agree that there won't be any big tax hike. I also think that Biden will get most of his cabinet appointments through the Senate, because money talks and bullshit walks -- and if you're a Republican looking at the money dished out by the Administration, they're not likely to be too happy to vote against the guy who administrates the bucks.
Pelosi will be removed from her speakership only when her lifeless body is rolled out of the House. Even then, there may be a question.
Whether the Senate stays Republican will be determined by Georgia in January.
Please, stop John. Biden smarter? Who are you trying to convince, me or you? Biden graduated in the half that makes the upper half possible.
This is not to say Trump is an Einstein, but Biden smart.
The only reason Biden lasted so long is because he in the senator of a very small state without any competition. If he was in a, even just slightly, larger state, he would have been primaried decades ago. But anyway ...
This is how I think it is going to work out. Perdue will keep his seat and I feel pretty confident so will Louffler. Biden will then come in as the first Dem since 1888 without a majority in both houses. His agenda will be finished, but he will at first fall right back into being a total partisan.
Let's face, the man who invented borking and told black churches that Romney (the most vanilla politician in history) was going to enslave them again is no great uniter. He is not going to try and work with McConnell and will instead work with Schumer. Unfortunately Schumer is fearful of a primary contest with AOC, so he is going to go far left. Pelosi will probably keep her speakership, but I doubt she will learn any lessons and will continue to lead from the left. Meanwhile though, it is starting to show, breaks are forming in the Dem party, creating a similar devision as the Tea Party did for the Republicans in 2010.
However, unlike in 2010, they will not have a opposing president they can hide the devision behind. It will be out in the open for the country to see, and will keep them and Biden from getting anything done. Meanwhile, the loudest voices in the party will continue to insist all republicans are racists and push identifiy politics (you are already seeing this, apparently Cubans are not latinos, but white nationalists now) even though this was obviously rejected by minorities.
Then 2022 will come along, and with the advantage the Senate Republicans have insofar as who is defending their seats, the republicans will increase their majority. I would also predict the house will also be lost, especially given the fact that the state republicans will have control over the redistricting next year.
Maybe by 2024 the Dems will have given up on identity politics, but I think Harris will end being the nominee. Nobody likes Harris; she will be easy to defeat.
I am just think of who the republicans should run in 2024. Kristi Noem maybe. I am also partial to Crenshaw, because lets face it, there ain't nothing more bad ass then an ex-Navy seal president with an eye-patch.