But look at Japan. They are doing better then most with little being done. Like I said, there are measures that need to be take, but a full lockdown is not it. After these models keep on getting proven wrong day after day, it is time to start going out and back to work.
I urge you not to draw such conclusions based on the Japanese example.
There is a high possibility that the low rate of contagion here is absolutely not a proof that social isolation isn't needed, but more probably the consequence of some specific factor such as the high rate of BCG vaccination. Besides, you have to understand that cultural aspects enforce a form of social isolation in Japan even when people meet: they don't kiss, hug, shake hands, always keep a certain physical distance, often wear masks,...
You are really playing a dangerous game Joe. Seriously. Stop before you cause more issues.Isolation is the only solution. It can be done in several ways:
- complete lock down
- targeted lock down. This can be done in different ways but they all require huge resources to identify infected people (the wide spread on-going testing is the right approach) and isolate the millions that will be found to be contagious/at risk. That's basically a wide spread extension of the cluster approach. Options include:
- complete isolation including from family members.
- Or full families with one infected person must be fully isolated from the rest
- full isolation of people at risk - probably impossible considering the amount of people at risk
- ...
You have to understand that this is not going away.You have to understand that by being a transmission agent you are putting others at risk.
Cheers,
Bernard
