Sounds like the R0 is also approaching 1.0 like it seems to be in the Netherlands. There might still be a flare-up due to last weekend where a lot of irresponsible folks were organizing parties in defiance of the instructions, which caused the government to tighten up the restrictions and impose €400 fines for private offenders, and € 4000 for companies. Now to get the R0 below 1.0 will be a tricky balancing act.
Indeed. Last weekend in Portugal there were some gatherings of people that confused "hygienic walks around the block" with going out and clogging promenades. I live 5min away from a nice beach, it's sunny outisde, but...
I saw a news piece the other day was how the big crisis in Bergamo was traced to a football match played in Milan between Atalanta (team from Bergamo) and Valencia - there were big celebrations in Bergamo due to the victory. Same thing is possible when, in plain crisis already, UEFA decided not to cancel Liverpool - Atletic Madrid, with 60,000 people in the stadium. Criminal decision, IMO.
Even today I read an article about the crisis in Spain, and how on March 8 the prime minister and the government participated in public events that gathered large crowds. March 8 there were 1,000 cases in Spain.
Similar thing happened in France, where early this month they were entertained with local elections and large public gatherings.
The danger of epidemics curve is that during the first couple of weeks, even though the number of cases may double every 2 or 3 days, the numbers are still low, so people still think itis not serious and do not take the necessary measures ON TIME.