Hi,
Ctein's article is interesting, but I also feel he is a bit on the optimistic side. He is obviously right about bayer sensor wasting a significant part of the light, but we have not yet seen a better solution. Also, I would also think that pixels can be shrunk quite a lot, but shrinking pixels reduces DR. Low DR (at the pixel level) and need of high bit readout is depending on adequate pixel size. It seems that the Nikon D810 is close to needing > 14 bit of data.
The way I see it, sensor makes improve their designs and technologies in small steps. Thinner wiring shifts optimal pixel sizes downwards. Sony's latest sensors put the photodiode in front of the wiring, just as an example. I am pretty sure the current MP counts are chosen to match current technology.
I would also think that lenses keep up with high resolution sensors. As long as aliasing artefacts like jaggies, false detail staircase effect are visible the imaging system has potential for higher resolution sensors.
But, diffraction sets a limit on the optical system at least when we need to stop down. A way to get around that is increasing the size of the sensor and using techniques to extend stop at non diffracted apertures, like using "Scheimpflug" and stacking. Technical cameras with tilts and proper workflow come to mind…
Another thing is, in film times we were shooting Tri-X, but for best image quality we used Panatomic-X. For larger formats we used 120 film (Pentax 67 in my case), than we had Technical Pan. High resolution sensors are a bit like high resolution film, although they often have good high ISO performance due to their noise free readout.
Getting back to 80 MP digital, I would say that there may be a visual advantage of say using an 80 MP system over a 50 MP system in large prints (say from 30"x40" and up). Visible or not may depend on processing, viewing conditions and the viewer. A 120/160/240/360/520 MP system would have an advantage over that 80 MP system - how much advantage? It depends.
Just to say, it is easy to test, just make a stitched pano with your 80 MP back vertically mounted, that would essentially double the number of pixels to 160MP (if keeping field of view). Than just print it at you preferred size. I am pretty sure that you have done that.
There is a very good reason to use the best technology available and that is that shooting opportunities don't come back.
Best regards
Erik
While I agree, the problem I have is when I take a shot I don't know how much will be good enough ...
Ctein had an interesting article about where things might be going over on the online photographer. Always an interesting read. I responded to a featured comment which sort of talked about the good enough idea, which is also featured below the article. Rather than rewriting my entire concept here, those interested can take a look.