Luminous Landscape Forum

Equipment & Techniques => Cameras, Lenses and Shooting gear => Topic started by: inissila on March 02, 2009, 06:53:30 am

Title: stilll about the D3X
Post by: inissila on March 02, 2009, 06:53:30 am
Just a comment with regards to the D3X review.

You cannot calculate the cost of the D3X sensor by subtracting the price of the D3 from the D3X. The pricing of the camera has little or nothing to do with production costs, as I am sure you should know. The pricing is based on how the product is perceived against the direct competition, and how the nearest competitors are priced. The Sony A900 isn't a direct competitor due to Sony offering 1) no pro support network, 2) many missing lenses in their lineup, 3) sufficient user base to guarantee longevity. If Sony had these things, then the prices of the D3X and the A900 would be more comparable. Nikon priced the D3X deliberately high, because 1) they  think the D700 and the D3 are better for most people, so the X will sell in small numbers no matter what 2) because they don't want the camera class created by the 1Ds to disappear. In their own words, "we have no intention of  starting a price war with Canon", whereas pricing the D3X, at let's say  $5000 would have meant Canon would have had to drop prices well below and the high end 35mm DSLR would be history. To kill this camera class, Sony would have to obtain about 30% market share, have more accessories and special-purpose lenses and a support network and a better attitude in service issues. If all of this happens, then there indeed might be a reduction in the top-of-the-line pricing.

The D700X, if made, would not cost $4000 over the price of the D700. The D700's flaws, the poor viewfinder accuracy, and the painfully difficult operation of the 24mm PC-E, would still be there and attract buyers to the D3 and D3X. I would guess the D700X would cost about $3500, with grip $3850. This would be reasonable considering the additional robustness, top-of-the-line autofocus etc. that the D700 has over the 5D Mk II. The D3X on the other hand was priced with the intention that it would mostly keep selling until the D700X comes out, after which they'd just sell old stock to those who need the viewfinder accuracy, more reasonable useability with the 24 PC-E, and perhaps the built in grip. This is the key to the high price:  development costs would have to be covered in a year.

My prediction is that there will be a 1Ds Mk IV, and it'll cost $7999,95 when new. Then I expect a long and vigorous bitching about the price by Michael Reichmann, Thom Hogan, etc. the lot.

Only when there is a true sensor technology saturation would prices start to come down in a serious way. Ie. when the 24 MP models have turned into 40MP with noise characteristics comparable to D3 pixels, which probably happens eventually, say within 10 years. When no one can innovate any more with respect to the sensor, then it becomes a commodity and everyone will have comparable image quality. But as long as there are serious advantages to the high end models, they'll be priced high.
Title: stilll about the D3X
Post by: douglasf13 on March 02, 2009, 08:55:44 am
Good points; and I agree than Nikon priced the D3x according to it's perceived value, rather than actual cost. I also agree that Sony is obviously not entrenched in the pro world, yet, and they admit as much themselves.  However, I would say that their lens line-up is sufficient for many (Nikon managed many pro shooters without t/s for years,) and Sony is a solid #3 in DSLR sales now, so the user base is growing. Many of the A900 users that Ive come acrossed that have added it to their arsenal of other brands are comparing it to their Contax cameras. Easy to use, well built, and Zeiss lenses. Contax certainly wasn't the choice for options, but it was certainly competant for some pros, and I didn't have Sony money behind it.
Title: stilll about the D3X
Post by: Marsupilami on March 03, 2009, 06:35:34 am
a Text I just wanted to put on my website which I thinks fits to this - hope you dont mind the long post - and my english

The high price of the D3X

Still many are upset about the high price of the D3X. And also I have canceled my order when I heard the list price here in Austria/Europe will be 6990.-€ (incl. Vat.). The reason was that on delivery day (20.12.2008), there was no camera test, never mind a test model, existing. And to shop the „cat in the bag“, I found the price was too high. So I have waited, until I have got a test camera from Nikon Vienna and this camera I have tested extensively.I could lay here the attention to the image quality of the D3X, as the manuals and general operation is familiar to me by my D3. Then I have done a short calculation:
Either I go back to Canon, but I have made the change from Canon to Nikon because to me, among the rest, the optics were simply too bad with Canon, above all in the wide angle area. Since even the expensive Canon 14 mm LII could not keep up with the Nikon 14-24 zoom, and this is by far the best Canon wide angle lens. The Canon 5D was to me a loyal companion on a lot of journeys, but the viewfinder was never good enough to me for a long working day. In other respects this camera also lacks professional requirements, as the AF is subpar, or no weather sealing to mention two. But also the successor, the 5D Mark II, has similar problems, although the favorable price really shines. Sony does have a very ambitious camera with the Alpha 900, unfortunately, in the lens section some things which I need for my work are not available (Shift/Tilt for example). And a system exchange is very time-consuming (via ebay or trader) and of course also financially not a good solution. Moreover, I love many of my manual Nikkor lenses very much and dont want to give them up.

I have hoped for a price of the D3X in the 5500.-€ range, after all I have paid 6700.-€ incl. Vat. As a professional photographer I am allowed to do a countercalculation of the the sales tax, so 5583.-€ remain. The camera is of course a company device, so saves me thus approx. 30-35% of income tax, of course only if I earn during the next years also well. So at a rough calculation about 3730.-€ which are to be paid by me. However, this is not at all the most interesting part. If I apply this calculation to the price difference between the price I hoped for and the actual price I paid, which is approx. 1200.-€, what remains are approx. 670.-€ of extra charge!
And now it is maybe clearer, why professionals on account of this high price of the D3X are not happy though, but nevertheless buy the camera. For photographers who need such a high resolution, it is simply a possible and sensible investment. And as said, a system change comes, all in all, hardly cheaper.

What hurts many Nikon photographers is the fact that there is still no D700x, the small brother to the D3X. But every Nikon photographer should know by now that Nikon always needs a little longer than the competition. But when it is ready then, mostly a very mature product puts on the market. Therefore I find boycott calls like from Ken Rockwell a little bit childish, and whinings about the price from photographers who pay three times the price for a medium format camera system without hesitation a little bit funny.

As one photographer stated it: „If you can´t afford this camera, you dont need it !

There are so many good cameras out there for a cheap price, that today really nobody should have a problem to get a camera for his needs and his wallet.

Christian Handl, March 2009
Title: stilll about the D3X
Post by: michael on March 03, 2009, 07:09:40 am
There is a difference between price, cost and value, which many seem to confuse (or do so deliberately)

I'll be writing more on this in the days ahead.

Michael

Title: stilll about the D3X
Post by: ErikKaffehr on March 03, 2009, 08:49:31 am
Michael,

Are you still shooting Canon? You made a major investment in Canon glass and bodies.

Regarding the Nikon D3x I share some of your opinion. IMHO it may be that a 5DII,  A900 or future D700x is all we need. The sports/reportage kind of guys may need an undestructabale camera like the D3 or the 1DIII but that may not need the extra resolution.

Different photographers have different needs, landscape shooters generally need the best lenses but normally shoot at low ISOs, and action photographers need high ISO but perhaps not the very highest resolution or absolutely sharpest lenses. The problem is that the Nikon 3DX is not ideal to any of those categories, whereas a D700x / D3 combination may be. By not being ideal I may mean lacking the FPS, being to heavy or to expensive. It's quite obvious that Nikon has lost a few customers to Sony and probably also to Canon, because lagging on fulll frame, full res camera at a price most people afford.

Canon has probably a "3D" sitting on the shelf to meet the D700x, once it arrives. The 5DII beats the A900 easily in almost all test, mostly based on the weakness of the A900 on high ISO noise. So I guess that Canon doesn't need to put much effort in competing with Sony right now.

I have an Alpha 900 and it is a nice camera. I'm essentially a low ISO shooter. The A900 may have less DR than the Nikon D3x but I still can pull out a lot of details in the shadows.

Best regards
Erik

Quote from: michael
There is a difference between price, cost and value, which many seem to confuse (or do so deliberately)

I'll be writing more on this in the days ahead.

Michael
Title: stilll about the D3X
Post by: eronald on March 03, 2009, 02:48:30 pm
Before Michael writes on article on value, he might consider taking his Alpha 900 to a soccer or basketball game; sports shooters don't seem to be flooding to the Sony system yet, whatever its "value" to the landscape crowd

For the record, I have a D3x, and I fully agree that the A900 image quality probably is at least as good as the Nikon (vibration reduction) when imaging objects that don't move, in decent light.

Edmund
Title: stilll about the D3X
Post by: Panopeeper on March 03, 2009, 03:18:36 pm
Quote from: eronald
For the record, I have a D3x, and I fully agree that the A900 image quality probably is at least as good as the Nikon (vibration reduction) when imaging objects that don't move, in decent light.
You will be happy to hear, that the A900 is much overrated due to misevaluations. On the other hand, for $5000 less than the D3X, plus image stabilisation, it is a no brainer. Although some lenses seem to be at least as expensive as the competitors with IS in lens.
Title: stilll about the D3X
Post by: eronald on March 03, 2009, 03:36:39 pm
Quote from: Panopeeper
You will be happy to hear, that the A900 is much overrated due to misevaluations. On the other hand, for $5000 less than the D3X, plus image stabilisation, it is a no brainer. Although some lenses seem to be at least as expensive as the competitors with IS in lens.

By the way, Gabor, I'm forwarding an email about  standardising noise measurements in a way that takes into account how humans look at it ...

Edmund
Title: stilll about the D3X
Post by: Panopeeper on March 03, 2009, 07:33:33 pm
Quote from: EPd
I wonder in what way the A900 is "overrated due to misevaluations"
I am working on a very technical evaluation, and I will explain this there. It is not an easy subject; this camera is a nightmare for the IQ evaluation. Anyway, I am referring to the published evaluations by DPReview and DXO.

Quote
So far this camera has exceeded my expectations positively, in both IQ and mechanical senses
My coming "counter-evaluation" will not affect your satisfaction, and I was not referring to and I am not dealing with anything else but dynamic range and noise characteristics.
Title: stilll about the D3X
Post by: harlemshooter on March 04, 2009, 09:25:19 am
great summation.  having previously worked at the vp marketing level for a number of years for f500s, your market driven perspective is most fresh.

cheers.


Quote from: inissila
Just a comment with regards to the D3X review.

You cannot calculate the cost of the D3X sensor by subtracting the price of the D3 from the D3X. The pricing of the camera has little or nothing to do with production costs, as I am sure you should know. The pricing is based on how the product is perceived against the direct competition, and how the nearest competitors are priced. The Sony A900 isn't a direct competitor due to Sony offering 1) no pro support network, 2) many missing lenses in their lineup, 3) sufficient user base to guarantee longevity. If Sony had these things, then the prices of the D3X and the A900 would be more comparable. Nikon priced the D3X deliberately high, because 1) they  think the D700 and the D3 are better for most people, so the X will sell in small numbers no matter what 2) because they don't want the camera class created by the 1Ds to disappear. In their own words, "we have no intention of  starting a price war with Canon", whereas pricing the D3X, at let's say  $5000 would have meant Canon would have had to drop prices well below and the high end 35mm DSLR would be history. To kill this camera class, Sony would have to obtain about 30% market share, have more accessories and special-purpose lenses and a support network and a better attitude in service issues. If all of this happens, then there indeed might be a reduction in the top-of-the-line pricing.

The D700X, if made, would not cost $4000 over the price of the D700. The D700's flaws, the poor viewfinder accuracy, and the painfully difficult operation of the 24mm PC-E, would still be there and attract buyers to the D3 and D3X. I would guess the D700X would cost about $3500, with grip $3850. This would be reasonable considering the additional robustness, top-of-the-line autofocus etc. that the D700 has over the 5D Mk II. The D3X on the other hand was priced with the intention that it would mostly keep selling until the D700X comes out, after which they'd just sell old stock to those who need the viewfinder accuracy, more reasonable useability with the 24 PC-E, and perhaps the built in grip. This is the key to the high price:  development costs would have to be covered in a year.

My prediction is that there will be a 1Ds Mk IV, and it'll cost $7999,95 when new. Then I expect a long and vigorous bitching about the price by Michael Reichmann, Thom Hogan, etc. the lot.

Only when there is a true sensor technology saturation would prices start to come down in a serious way. Ie. when the 24 MP models have turned into 40MP with noise characteristics comparable to D3 pixels, which probably happens eventually, say within 10 years. When no one can innovate any more with respect to the sensor, then it becomes a commodity and everyone will have comparable image quality. But as long as there are serious advantages to the high end models, they'll be priced high.
Title: stilll about the D3X
Post by: Tony Beach on March 04, 2009, 02:22:48 pm
Quote from: inissila
The D700's...painfully difficult operation of the 24mm PC-E

The D3X on the other hand... [has] more reasonable useability with the 24 PC-E

You have direct experience with this?  Please tell me more, I'm interested in the specifics as I have that lens and use it on my D300; I didn't realize I was enduring painful difficulties with this combo.
Title: stilll about the D3X
Post by: eronald on March 05, 2009, 06:21:30 am
Quote from: Tony Beach
You have direct experience with this?  Please tell me more, I'm interested in the specifics as I have that lens and use it on my D300; I didn't realize I was enduring painful difficulties with this combo.

There's a sticker on that lens when you buy it which warns that users "may" pinch their fingers with cameras other than the D3/D3x.
I only read the Japanese and Italian text on the sticker for entertainment, didn't bother with the english version, so am just guessing. Correct me if I'm wring about Nikon's recommendation.

Edmund
Title: stilll about the D3X
Post by: inissila on March 05, 2009, 07:23:47 am
Quote from: Tony Beach
You have direct experience with this?  Please tell me more, I'm interested in the specifics as I have that lens and use it on my D300; I didn't realize I was enduring painful difficulties with this combo.

I don't have a D300 so I can't comment on that and see no relevance to the discussion. I'm talking about work which involves using the shift. In order to switch from vertical to horizontal operation with the D700 body, in many cases you need to reset the shift and in some cases turn the camera 180 degrees to be able to achieve the movement you want (just because of the stupid popup flash housing which interferes with the shift). Same thing when you mount or unmount the lens; shift has to be reset. Have done this a few thousand times and my fingers were bleeding from doing it. On the other hand on the D3/D3X you never have to reset the shift to rotate the axis of movement or to attach/detach the lens from the camera. Much easier to use and the shift lock will last longer.

Title: stilll about the D3X
Post by: Rob C on March 05, 2009, 09:34:44 am
Quote from: inissila
(just because of the stupid popup flash housing which interferes with the shift). Same thing when you mount or unmount the lens; shift has to be reset.


I understand your anger. It is exactly the same with the D200 when you want to work the aperture ring on manual lenses. The need for a built-in flash can be overcome by carrying a separate flash in your camera bag; the need for rapid diaphragm changes cannot be overcome - but Nikon obviously doesn´t consider that important even though it permits the use of non-af optics, which all of mine are. As it should allow, considering how many faithful Nikon owners have them. So far, I have never used the built-in flash and it has been opened once only - by accident.

A poor inclusion which, for me, downgrades the camera where it needed not be downgraded, and represents yet a further feature for which I have to pay but do not want. Makes me wonder about whether to upgrade to that D700 either, which is a pity because it offers a lot of other excellent values...

Rob C
Title: stilll about the D3X
Post by: markhout on March 05, 2009, 10:50:14 am
Quote from: Rob C
A poor inclusion which, for me, downgrades the camera where it needed not be downgraded, and represents yet a further feature for which I have to pay but do not want. Makes me wonder about whether to upgrade to that D700 either, which is a pity because it offers a lot of other excellent values...

Rob C

Fair enough - horses for courses as they say. I am using the pop up flash almost all the time as a wireless commander to the Nikon flash system (the flash doesn't work as a flash, but as a commander) and am quite disappointed that for the "pro" D3(x) I need to buy an additional gadget to get the same functionality...

Mark
Title: stilll about the D3X
Post by: Tony Beach on March 05, 2009, 11:36:52 am
Quote from: inissila
I don't have a D300 so I can't comment on that and see no relevance to the discussion. I'm talking about work which involves using the shift. In order to switch from vertical to horizontal operation with the D700 body, in many cases you need to reset the shift and in some cases turn the camera 180 degrees to be able to achieve the movement you want (just because of the stupid popup flash housing which interferes with the shift). Same thing when you mount or unmount the lens; shift has to be reset. Have done this a few thousand times and my fingers were bleeding from doing it. On the other hand on the D3/D3X you never have to reset the shift to rotate the axis of movement or to attach/detach the lens from the camera. Much easier to use and the shift lock will last longer.

Since you brought it up, I wanted to hear what your painful experience were, and I'm sorry to hear about those.  The reason my experience with this lens and the D300 is relevant is that the D300 has the same body as the D700 (although the D300 is slightly smaller) and it is one of the three cameras listed as compatible with the PC-E lenses, and because you brought up the lens' problems on the D700.  Presumably, a "D700x" will also have this body; although I agree with others here that it would be nice if Nikon skipped the built in flash.

I will say that I can recall pinching my finger once, and it was only an annoyance.  The large shift knob does not allow me to put it on the side with the built in flash, but I just set it opposite to the built in flash and I can shift the lens, but then the lock knob is under the flash and has to be tightened or loosened with my fingertips (or I have to turn the lens 30° so I can more easily reach it, and then return it to under the built in flash).  Yes, I have to reset the shift to its center position when removing the lens from the D300 and the one time I pinched my finger was when I forgot to do that; however, you are also supposed to have it in that position to accurately meter with the lens, so while an annoyance it is not what I would characterize as "painful".  Finally, I have no restriction of the actual shift movement on my D300 (I get about 1mm of restriction with my D200 when the lens bumps up against the built in flash, I do not know what your experience with the D700 is).
Title: stilll about the D3X
Post by: inissila on March 05, 2009, 12:07:13 pm

The restriction of 24mm PC-E movements on  the D700 involves a diagonal shift which I don't normally use. But the need to center and decenter the shift between rotations is a problem for me. I don't use the in-camera meter with shift lenses so I don't need to go to zero for that. I have always used a hand-held meter when working with PC lenses and with digital, guessing and iterating using the color histogram is faster than shift zero, release tripod lock, point spot meter to areas of interest, adjust exposure, return to composition, shift, focus and shoot. Anyway, a lot of the time a single exposure measurement is sufficient for a series of pictures of a building, for example; the light doesn't always change quickly.

Using the lens a lot resulted in the shift lock stopping to work; they gave me a new lens as a replacement, and the lock in that seems to work better but I'm very careful not to adjust the shift unnecessarily as I don't entiraly trust the mechanism after my experience with the first lens. Having to stop using the lens on a trip because of lock failure was annoying enough. Anyway, I prefer to use the D3 with this lens because it's easier and more comfortable on my fingers, also the more accurate viewfinder helps. I would say the extra weight is a pain but the 24 is a key lens for me this is a reason for me to use the larger D3 body. Although the problem could be solved by simply leaving out the pop-up flash out of the D700(X) - and making the viewfinder housing a bit smaller to allow for more freedom with this lens. I doubt Nikon will change this though; all the double and triple digit D-bodies have the flash.

I've also found the bigger body to be easier to work with gloves on in the winter (which is 5-6 months every year) and the battery only rarely needs to be recharged even in the coldest conditions -  so there are many little things that are in favour of the bigger camera for my particular needs. Another person might need different things.

Would I buy a D700X or D3X? I plan to skip a generation as  24MP on _every image_ is just too much burden for my (two-month old quad core) computer - I process 35000 images per year and going to 24MP would mean less time for living. When the time is right and computers have become faster, I will get a D4 or D4X as my next DSLR. Not a D700X unless they drop the shaker and pop-up flash since the consequences of those features make the camera unattractive to me.
Title: stilll about the D3X
Post by: JeffKohn on March 05, 2009, 01:07:32 pm
Quote
You cannot calculate the cost of the D3X sensor by subtracting the price of the D3 from the D3X. The pricing of the camera has little or nothing to do with production costs, as I am sure you should know. The pricing is based on how the product is perceived against the direct competition, and how the nearest competitors are priced.
I don't disagree, but even by your criteria I think many if not most would agree that the D3x is overpriced. Yes, the 1Ds3 was $8K at release, but it broke new ground in resolution, and was without peer. Nikon can't come along over a year later and claim the same exclusivity, the market has changed.

The fact that Cameta Camera is already selling the D3x at $7099 shows pretty clearly that the market has spoken and the D3x is overpriced. No other Nikon DSLR has been so heavily discounted so soon after release.

Quote
The D700X, if made, would not cost $4000 over the price of the D700. The D700's flaws, the poor viewfinder accuracy, and the painfully difficult operation of the 24mm PC-E, would still be there and attract buyers to the D3 and D3X.
But the thing is, the price relationship between these two classes of body has already been established by the D3 and D700. The D700 has all of the same flaws you mentioned, and was priced $2K below the D3. To say that those same limitations now justify a $4500 price difference is absurd. This is why I don't think there will be a D700x released in 2009, at least not with the D3x sensor. I think the D700x will either be released with a different, less capable sensor (maybe something in the 18-20mp range that is optimized a bit more for high-ISO than for absolute low-ISO quality), or else it will be released much later than some people are hoping.
Title: stilll about the D3X
Post by: JeffKohn on March 05, 2009, 01:11:17 pm
Quote
The reason my experience with this lens and the D300 is relevant is that the D300 has the same body as the D700 (although the D300 is slightly smaller)
While the D300 and D700 have the same body, the viewfinder chamber is larger on the D700 to accomodate the full-frame sensor, so it could be that the clearance is slightly worse on the D700 than the D300. I will say that on the D300 I've not found it to be an issue at all, even shifting on a diagonal. Yes you have to "un-shift" before rotating, but IMHO that's a good habit to be in anyway, lest I forget to shift it back later and shoot the lens in a shifted position when I didn't mean too.
Title: stilll about the D3X
Post by: lisa_r on March 05, 2009, 01:23:20 pm
Out of curiosity, is anyone else matching this $7100 price at Cameta? That's the first I heard of such a low price for this camera...
Title: stilll about the D3X
Post by: BJL on March 05, 2009, 02:38:26 pm
Quote from: JeffKohn
But the thing is, the price relationship between these two classes of body has already been established by the D3 and D700.
That is not a safe comparison, because sales volume and elasticity of demand are factors in pricing too, and the D3 is a higher volume product than the D3X or 1Ds class of cameras. Nikon was producing as many as 10,000/mo of the D3 at one point, compared to figures of 4000/mo for several consecutive 1D models and 2,000/mo for several consecutive 1Ds models. Nikon was likely also working hard to win news organizations and such away from the Canon 1D series, which might require prices close to that of the 1DIII despite the higher cost of the larger sensor.

A closer comparison might be 1DsMkIII vs 5DMkII, which currently differ in price by about $4,300: $7000 vs $2,700.
Title: stilll about the D3X
Post by: BernardLanguillier on March 05, 2009, 03:40:16 pm
Quote from: JeffKohn
This is why I don't think there will be a D700x released in 2009, at least not with the D3x sensor. I think the D700x will either be released with a different, less capable sensor (maybe something in the 18-20mp range that is optimized a bit more for high-ISO than for absolute low-ISO quality), or else it will be released much later than some people are hoping.

Most people were also thinking that Nikon would never ever:

- release a D700 so quickly,
- use the exact same sensor as the D3,

I am personnally 100% sure that Nikon will release a D800 before year end.

Cheers,
Bernard
Title: stilll about the D3X
Post by: eronald on March 05, 2009, 03:47:15 pm
Quote from: BernardLanguillier
Most people were also thinking that Nikon would never ever:

- release a D700 so quickly,
- use the exact same sensor as the D3,

I am personnally 100% sure that Nikon will release a D800 before year end.

Cheers,
Bernard

peronnally 100% sure. Hmmm.  

I beta tested a lot of stuff but was never 100% sure of the release date.

Edmund
Title: stilll about the D3X
Post by: JeffKohn on March 05, 2009, 04:25:38 pm
Quote
That is not a safe comparison, because sales volume and elasticity of demand are factors in pricing too, and the D3 is a higher volume product than the D3X or 1Ds class of cameras. Nikon was producing as many as 10,000/mo of the D3 at one point, compared to figures of 4000/mo for several consecutive 1D models and 2,000/mo for several consecutive 1Ds models. Nikon was likely also working hard to win news organizations and such away from the Canon 1D series, which might require prices close to that of the 1DIII despite the higher cost of the larger sensor.
On the other hand, the R&D costs for the D3/D700 bodies have already been absorbed. There is absolutely nothing new about the D3x aside from the sensor, which considerably lowers the fixed overhead costs of the new camera. One would presume the same would likely be true for an eventual D700x/D800, unless they decide to add something like video.

Quote
A closer comparison might be 1DsMkIII vs 5DMkII, which currently differ in price by about $4,300: $7000 vs $2,700.
But the 5DII camera body is not in the same class as the D700; the D700 has much more features in common with the D3 than the 5DII does with the 1DSIII.
Title: stilll about the D3X
Post by: JeffKohn on March 05, 2009, 04:28:34 pm
Quote from: lisa_r
Out of curiosity, is anyone else matching this $7100 price at Cameta? That's the first I heard of such a low price for this camera...
No idea. You would likely have to call/shop around as the big etailers like B&H aren't discounting yet. But Cameta is a legit Nikon dealer; I've purchased several big-ticket items from them in the past, and wouldn't hesitate to do so again. (In fact I probably will be purchasing a D3x from them once they get a little cheaper, because unlike Bernard I don't think a D800 is coming anytime soon).
Title: stilll about the D3X
Post by: JeffKohn on March 05, 2009, 04:31:40 pm
Quote from: BernardLanguillier
Most people were also thinking that Nikon would never ever:

- release a D700 so quickly,
- use the exact same sensor as the D3,

I am personnally 100% sure that Nikon will release a D800 before year end.

Cheers,
Bernard
At $4000-4500, maybe. At $3000-3500, I don't believe it. How much do you expect this D800 to cost? I think the economy and currency rates also will have an impact on release timing.
Title: stilll about the D3X
Post by: lisa_r on March 05, 2009, 05:19:37 pm
Maybe the D800 will come sooner rather than later. According to the retailers I use here in NYC, the D3x IS NOT SELLING. And they can not keep the 5D2 in stock, they are flying off the shelves (as if that is new to anyone.)

Given these facts, maybe Nikon will decide that a substantially cheaper offering is a good idea.
Title: stilll about the D3X
Post by: BJL on March 05, 2009, 05:39:31 pm
Quote from: JeffKohn
But the 5DII camera body is not in the same class as the D700; the D700 has much more features in common with the D3 than the 5DII does with the 1DSIII.
The D700 costs less than the 5DMkII, so I find it hard to accept an argument that the D700 body costs so much more than the 5DMkII, and thus that using that  body for a "D700x" will cause it to cost far more than the 5DMkII. Likewise, the A900 and D700 bodies (sensor aside) do not seem greatly different in likely unit cost. And I see no evidence of a significant unit cost difference between the sensors of the D700 and of the D3X and A900, so a D700x should have roughly similar unit costs to the D700 and A900.

So I return to the point that sales volume, competition, and elasticity of demand are dominant factors in the pricing of such products, more perhaps than unit costs. And with the A900 and 5DMkII as competitors, a D700x would be held to comparable prices.
Title: stilll about the D3X
Post by: eronald on March 05, 2009, 06:03:22 pm
I'd expect a D700 price drop and a D800 competitive with the 5DII. But I think the D700 an D3 are general purpose cameras, the D3x is a high-MP low ISO shooter which happens to have good 1600 ISO.

Edmund

Quote from: BJL
The D700 costs less than the 5DMkII, so I find it hard to accept an argument that the D700 body costs so much more than the 5DMkII, and thus that using that  body for a "D700x" will cause it to cost far more than the 5DMkII. Likewise, the A900 and D700 bodies (sensor aside) do not seem greatly different in likely unit cost. And I see no evidence of a significant unit cost difference between the sensors of the D700 and of the D3X and A900, so a D700x should have roughly similar unit costs to the D700 and A900.

So I return to the point that sales volume, competition, and elasticity of demand are dominant factors in the pricing of such products, more perhaps than unit costs. And with the A900 and 5DMkII as competitors, a D700x would be held to comparable prices.
Title: stilll about the D3X
Post by: Ray on March 05, 2009, 09:14:48 pm
Quote from: eronald
But I think the D700 an D3 are general purpose cameras, the D3x is a high-MP low ISO shooter which happens to have good 1600 ISO.

The D3X at ISO 1600 is about as good as the D3 at ISO 1600, in terms of noise and resolution, isn't it?

Dpreview claim that the D700 has a whisker more resolution than the 5D2 at ISO 3200. Perhaps the reverse applies at ISO 1600, ie. the 5D2 has a whisker more resolution than the D700 at ISO 1600. Either way, in practical terms it seems there's no advantage of the higher-MP camera above ISO 800.
Title: stilll about the D3X
Post by: Tony Beach on March 05, 2009, 09:17:18 pm
Quote from: JeffKohn
At $4000-4500, maybe. At $3000-3500, I don't believe it. How much do you expect this D800 to cost? I think the economy and currency rates also will have an impact on release timing.

How much would you have guessed a D300 would cost the day before it was announced?  It outperformed the D2x in nearly every way and had the same resolution, Nikon was selling the D2x at that time for $4500.  That works out to 40%, and if Nikon did that again then that would mean a "D800" would likely cost $3200.
Title: stilll about the D3X
Post by: JeffKohn on March 06, 2009, 12:14:40 am
Quote from: Tony Beach
How much would you have guessed a D300 would cost the day before it was announced?  It outperformed the D2x in nearly every way and had the same resolution, Nikon was selling the D2x at that time for $4500.  That works out to 40%, and if Nikon did that again then that would mean a "D800" would likely cost $3200.
The D2x was what, 3 years old at that time? It was effectively end-of-lifed with the release of the D3 and D300. Regardless of the supposed retail price, I don't think anybody was actually paying anywhere near $4500 for them, and with the concurrent release of the D3 the D2x essentially was obsolete (if not already discontinued). The resale value of D2x's plummeted overnight, and the stores that were still selling them new sold them for not much more than the price of a D300.

Completely different situation.
Title: stilll about the D3X
Post by: Tony Beach on March 06, 2009, 11:22:56 am
Quote from: JeffKohn
Completely different situation.

Nonetheless, it was something you would not have predicted.  It was a competitive move by Nikon.  I submit that both those things will happen again, and I am anticipating a $3500 version of the D3x sensor by the end of this year; anything less costing anymore will make Nikon decidedly uncompetitive in this class of DSLRs.  

Anyway, arguing about it is a waste of time (we might just as well argue about who will win the World Series), by the end of the year we'll know who's right.
Title: stilll about the D3X
Post by: eronald on March 06, 2009, 05:24:40 pm
Quote from: Ray
The D3X at ISO 1600 is about as good as the D3 at ISO 1600, in terms of noise and resolution, isn't it?

Dpreview claim that the D700 has a whisker more resolution than the 5D2 at ISO 3200. Perhaps the reverse applies at ISO 1600, ie. the 5D2 has a whisker more resolution than the D700 at ISO 1600. Either way, in practical terms it seems there's no advantage of the higher-MP camera above ISO 800.

The D3x is pretty usable at 1600, but the D3 just keeps going above that.
Handheld shooting at low speeds is an exercise in frustration with a hi-mp camera: the shake throws away the pixels.

Edmund
Title: stilll about the D3X
Post by: Ray on March 07, 2009, 05:38:12 pm
Quote from: eronald
The D3x is pretty usable at 1600, but the D3 just keeps going above that.
Handheld shooting at low speeds is an exercise in frustration with a hi-mp camera: the shake throws away the pixels.

Edmund

As I understand, the D3X pixel is noisier than the D3 pixel at high ISO's, and as a consequence resolution is sacrificed. Even my 5D shows a noticeable loss of resolution at ISO 1600, compared with ISO 400 and below, for example.

However, what's not clear to me is whether or not that loss of D3X resolution at ISO 1600 and above is compounded by an insufficiently faster shutter speed such as would normally be required at lower ISOs, when hand-held, to get the extra resolution the D3X is capable of.

High ISO capability is often described by some manufacturers as another form of image stabilisation because it allows the use of a faster shutter speed. In circumstances where I would use a D3 at ISO 800, if I didn't have a D3X, I might feel the need to jump up to ISO 1600 with the D3X to get that faster shutter speed. The question is, would I necessarily get a sharper result, assuming that half of that shutter speed used with the D3X would be perfectly adequate to produce a sharp result with the D3?
Title: stilll about the D3X
Post by: eronald on March 08, 2009, 06:18:24 am
The shutter speed issue is hard - Canon cameras are somehow notorious for requiring faster shutter speeds to freeze action ...

I think the issue depends on the sensor/microlens layout ad the subject matter in big part. Simulations or better real tests are the only way to check.

Edmund

Quote from: Ray
As I understand, the D3X pixel is noisier than the D3 pixel at high ISO's, and as a consequence resolution is sacrificed. Even my 5D shows a noticeable loss of resolution at ISO 1600, compared with ISO 400 and below, for example.

However, what's not clear to me is whether or not that loss of D3X resolution at ISO 1600 and above is compounded by an insufficiently faster shutter speed such as would normally be required at lower ISOs, when hand-held, to get the extra resolution the D3X is capable of.

High ISO capability is often described by some manufacturers as another form of image stabilisation because it allows the use of a faster shutter speed. In circumstances where I would use a D3 at ISO 800, if I didn't have a D3X, I might feel the need to jump up to ISO 1600 with the D3X to get that faster shutter speed. The question is, would I necessarily get a sharper result, assuming that half of that shutter speed used with the D3X would be perfectly adequate to produce a sharp result with the D3?

Title: stilll about the D3X
Post by: Ray on March 08, 2009, 09:10:11 am
Quote from: eronald
The shutter speed issue is hard - Canon cameras are somehow notorious for requiring faster shutter speeds to freeze action ...

I think the issue depends on the sensor/microlens layout ad the subject matter in big part. Simulations or better real tests are the only way to check.

Edmund

That's interesting! I have no idea why the microlens layout might have any bearing on the shutter speed required to freeze action. Testing such issues using the cameras on a tripod should be no problem. Get your friend to drive by in your Ferrari at a constant speed whilst you photograph her.  

Testing hand-held shots is more problematic, with or without image stabilisation, since camera shake varies from shot to shot.

The old 1/FL guideline for shutter speed applied to 8"x12" prints from the 35mm format, and that would apply equally to the D3 and D3X since both cameras are of the same format.

The impression I get is that, on a tripod, the D3X is no sharper at ISO 1600 and above than the D3, and the 5D2 is hardly sharper than the D700 at ISO 1600 and above.

If the subject is moving, then both cameras will benefit from an increased shutter speed at ISO 1600, to the same degree, and both images from each camera will still be equally sharp (or unsharp). I would predict the same would apply to camera shake, if camera shake were constant.
Title: stilll about the D3X
Post by: petermarrek on March 08, 2009, 11:16:26 am
It is with great amusement reading all these comments about and why the D3x exists, mostly written by folks who are guessing at best. As far as obsolescence is concerned, My D2x still serves admirably making money for me. The D3x is great when I need the extra resolution. An added bonus is that I can now take more chances physically with the D2x as it has become more expendable. Can't understand why more people don't snap these "outdated" cameras up, judging from the abuse I have put mine through these cameras will function well for many years to come.
Title: stilll about the D3X
Post by: kers on March 08, 2009, 01:06:57 pm
Quote from: petermarrek
It is with great amusement reading all these comments about and why the D3x exists, mostly written by folks who are guessing at best. As far as obsolescence is concerned, My D2x still serves admirably making money for me. The D3x is great when I need the extra resolution. An added bonus is that I can now take more chances physically with the D2x as it has become more expendable. Can't understand why more people don't snap these "outdated" cameras up, judging from the abuse I have put mine through these cameras will function well for many years to come.


I had the D2x and now have a D3:

the D3 is at iso 2000 about what you get on iso 400 with the d2x  when it comes to noise.

The D3 has a viewfinder that lets you take a sharp picture with manual focus. ( a shame i had to wait for the D3 for that)

The D3 let's you use the 14-24mm lens - there is no alternative for the dx size

the D3 has live view that lets you focus precise

etc
Title: stilll about the D3X
Post by: eronald on March 08, 2009, 03:32:01 pm
Quote from: petermarrek
It is with great amusement reading all these comments about and why the D3x exists, mostly written by folks who are guessing at best. As far as obsolescence is concerned, My D2x still serves admirably making money for me. The D3x is great when I need the extra resolution. An added bonus is that I can now take more chances physically with the D2x as it has become more expendable. Can't understand why more people don't snap these "outdated" cameras up, judging from the abuse I have put mine through these cameras will function well for many years to come.

I have never had a pro series camera damaged by abuse. I don't think it's physically possible for a human being to damage one without a lever effect eg. falls with an attached long lens, or foreign matter in the mirror box. I drop my N and C   cameras into an unpadded bag, they're all pro models, they go where I go and after a few years they're still working perfectly; I do need to change shutters occasionally, but that is considered normal wear and tear. Of course if I did strange things like use sealed plastic bags or rain protectors, I'm sure I would have failures ...

Edmund
Title: stilll about the D3X
Post by: BernardLanguillier on March 08, 2009, 07:01:16 pm
Quote from: eronald
I have never had a pro series camera damaged by abuse. I don't think it's physically possible for a human being to damage one without a lever effect eg. falls with an attached long lens, or foreign matter in the mirror box.

The weakest physical point of high resolutions DSLR, whatever the make, is the alignement of the mount and sensor axis.

Any wall involving a shock on the lens, even a short/light lens, will most probably take the mount out of perfect alignement which will result on images with an unsharp area.

Even if it appears to be still working fine, any camera having sustained a fall must be sent for repair if perfect results are still expected.

Cheers,
Bernard
Title: stilll about the D3X
Post by: Tony Beach on March 08, 2009, 09:56:19 pm
Quote from: BernardLanguillier
The weakest physical point of high resolutions DSLR, whatever the make, is the alignement of the mount and sensor axis.

Any wall involving a shock on the lens, even a short/light lens, will most probably take the mount out of perfect alignement which will result on images with an unsharp area.

Even if it appears to be still working fine, any camera having sustained a fall must be sent for repair if perfect results are still expected.

Cheers,
Bernard

Well I would agree that the camera should be checked, my D300 has been banged around pretty good and on its last inspection by Nikon had no issues with the lens mount.
Title: stilll about the D3X
Post by: eronald on March 08, 2009, 09:57:54 pm
Quote from: BernardLanguillier
The weakest physical point of high resolutions DSLR, whatever the make, is the alignement of the mount and sensor axis.

Any wall involving a shock on the lens, even a short/light lens, will most probably take the mount out of perfect alignement which will result on images with an unsharp area.

Even if it appears to be still working fine, any camera having sustained a fall must be sent for repair if perfect results are still expected.

Cheers,
Bernard

Yes. which is why I tend to mount a 50/1.8 quasi pancake lenscap, or a 20 on mine while travelling


Edmund
Title: stilll about the D3X
Post by: BernardLanguillier on March 08, 2009, 11:15:13 pm
Quote from: eronald
Yes. which is why I tend to mount a 50/1.8 quasi pancake lenscap, or a 20 on mine while travelling

Probably a smart approach indeed.

Cheers,
Bernard
Title: stilll about the D3X
Post by: eronald on March 09, 2009, 07:04:22 am
Quote from: BernardLanguillier
Probably a smart approach indeed.

Cheers,
Bernard

Actually, I would be more worried about internal misaligments (sensor, mirror, focus sensor) from sustained transport vibration; of course in a few years time the sensor will use the VR technology to self-align, and the focus system may well do something similar.

Edmund