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Equipment & Techniques => Digital Cameras & Shooting Techniques => Topic started by: dwdallam on September 08, 2008, 03:57:42 am

Title: Canon 50D @ 15MP, will there be another 5D?
Post by: dwdallam on September 08, 2008, 03:57:42 am
If the new 50D is a 1400.00 US camera at 15.1MP, how would a 5D2 be marketed in order to keep it from competing with the 1D or 50D market? I really can't see a new 5D in the future given the quality the 50D is putting out--a bit too soon to say that, but it looks very, very good. I mean I could see a 5D2 at 15MP with great low noise at high ISO and weather sealing at 3, 500.00 US, but then what happens to the 1D series? Would Canon even make another 3500.00 US FF camera w/o weather sealing? Remember what happened when the 5D came out and people were comparing it to the 1DSMK2 and saying--"If it weren't for the weather sealing, I'd buy the 5D . . . ." I know for certain, since I was friends with the office manger and assistant, that a Manhattan commercial photographer was using 5 5D's, after purchasing two MKII's--so pros did buy the 5D over the 1DS MKII after it came out.

Canon is strange.
Title: Canon 50D @ 15MP, will there be another 5D?
Post by: ihv on September 08, 2008, 04:32:23 am
I think it is just a matter of competition. Worrying too much about 1-series
would sink this ship, it's time to offer what others.
Title: Canon 50D @ 15MP, will there be another 5D?
Post by: soboyle on September 08, 2008, 08:16:24 am
When the 5D came out, the Canon flagship was 16 megapixels, so we may see the same relationship with the new 5D, perhaps a 20-21 mpix body. Canon is showing some teasers on their site, so we should know soon if it is a new 5D, or something else.
Title: Canon 50D @ 15MP, will there be another 5D?
Post by: dwdallam on September 09, 2008, 02:01:27 am
A 5D at 21MP would seriously hamper the 1DS3 I would think, unless it was a real dog. Think about this: If the 5D had come out weather sealed, what would have happened to the 1DS2? I'm thinking that since the 5D came out at the end of the 1DS2's lifetime, it did not impact the 1DS2 much, since all those who needed a 1DS2 already had one.
Title: Canon 50D @ 15MP, will there be another 5D?
Post by: httivals on September 09, 2008, 03:18:46 am
The 5D did not come out at the end of the 1DsII's life.  It came out 1 year into the 1DsII's lifetime.  We are now also 1 year into the 1DsIII's life.  Also, there's a lot more competition now from Nikon and Sony.  Canon would be stupid to limit the 5D specs based on it's own product line rather than based on the market as a whole.  Chances are the new 5D will seriously cannabalize the market for 1DsIIIs.  I expect the price for used 1DsIIIs to be at or  below $5k within a month of when the new 5D is on the market.  I also expect Canon to release a 1DsIV within a year if not by February.

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I'm thinking that since the 5D came out at the end of the 1DS2's lifetime, it did not impact the 1DS2 much, since all those who needed a 1DS2 already had one.
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Title: Canon 50D @ 15MP, will there be another 5D?
Post by: dwdallam on September 09, 2008, 03:27:58 am
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The 5D did not come out at the end of the 1DsII's life.  It came out 1 year into the 1DsII's lifetime.  We are now also 1 year into the 1DsIII's life.  Also, there's a lot more competition now from Nikon and Sony.  Canon would be stupid to limit the 5D specs based on it's own product line rather than based on the market as a whole.  Chances are the new 5D will seriously cannabalize the market for 1DsIIIs.  I expect the price for used 1DsIIIs to be at or  below $5k within a month of when the new 5D is on the market.  I also expect Canon to release a 1DsIV within a year if not by February.
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I completely agree. I think those of us who bought the 1DS3 got seriously taken. But if I can get 5K out of it after the 1dsIV comes out, I'll probably sell it and write off the loss on taxes for 2009. I think Canon stopped working on the 1DS3 t0o early and pushed it to market, just to make some fast money while they were working already on the MKIV. If the 1DS4 comes out in February, that will put the 1DS3 only at 1.5 years old! And I'm sure the ds4 will have dual digic 4 CPUs on board too. I'm quite sure it will have lower noise for higher ISO use too.

I bet the 5D come in at around 16-18MP with lower noise in high ISO than either the 1DS3 or the new 50D. If it has weather sealing, and comes in at around 3300US--what a deal! It will probably only have one digic 4 CPU.

It will be interesting to see what it really is.
Title: Canon 50D @ 15MP, will there be another 5D?
Post by: Josh-H on September 09, 2008, 06:21:16 am
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I completely agree. I think those of us who bought the 1DS3 got seriously taken. But if I can get 5K out of it after the 1dsIV comes out, I'll probably sell it and write off the loss on taxes for 2009. I think Canon stopped working on the 1DS3 t0o early and pushed it to market, just to make some fast money while they were working already on the MKIV. If the 1DS4 comes out in February, that will put the 1DS3 only at 1.5 years old! And I'm sure the ds4 will have dual digic 4 CPUs on board too. I'm quite sure it will have lower noise for higher ISO use too.

I bet the 5D come in at around 16-18MP with lower noise in high ISO than either the 1DS3 or the new 50D. If it has weather sealing, and comes in at around 3300US--what a deal! It will probably only have one digic 4 CPU.

It will be interesting to see what it really is.
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I am not having a personal go at you - but its a completely ridiculous statement to say that those who bought the 1DSMK3 got 'taken'.

Firstly - the 1DSMK3 is without doubt THE finest 35mm DSLR I have ever used - regardless of price. It produces stunningly good files with incredible detail. Its near bullet proof, virtually waterproof, rugged and reliable. I use mine on paying jobs regularly without hesitation, and if you look what other professionals are also using you will find many more of the same comments. Mine has been used in torrential rain, -11 degree celsius blizzards, high dust environments and its never missed a beat.

The rest of your post is pure speculation that does not conform with any part of Canons history of upgrading 1 series cameras.

In summary - stop worrying about what 'may' be coming out in the future - keep shooting with your 1DSMK3 - its a brilliant camera and mine will have to be prized from my cold dead hand before I let it go.
Title: Canon 50D @ 15MP, will there be another 5D?
Post by: JohnKoerner on September 09, 2008, 11:53:06 am
I agree about the weather sealing issue also.

At some point, the matters for consideration are going to become moot as to who has "the most megapixels" and will ultimately become who makes the better camera.

$3500 is enough to buy a decent used car for your kid, that will last another 5-10 years, so it ought to be enough to buy a solid new camera that will do the same.

It would be nice to see Canon establish a solid FF camera, with excellent craftsmanship from a long-term perspective. It doesn't have to have the speed of some of the others, nor the highest resolution either, it just has to have enough of these things to be attractive to anyone serious, while at the same time making someone believe its ability to perform will around for awhile.

I would like to see more of an emphasis placed on solid product quality myself, as opposed to another light-plastic gadget that leaks with a mid-range price tag.






.
Title: Canon 50D @ 15MP, will there be another 5D?
Post by: dwdallam on September 09, 2008, 11:03:44 pm
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I am not having a personal go at you - but its a completely ridiculous statement to say that those who bought the 1DSMK3 got 'taken'.

Firstly - the 1DSMK3 is without doubt THE finest 35mm DSLR I have ever used - regardless of price. It produces stunningly good files with incredible detail. Its near bullet proof, virtually waterproof, rugged and reliable. I use mine on paying jobs regularly without hesitation, and if you look what other professionals are also using you will find many more of the same comments. Mine has been used in torrential rain, -11 degree celsius blizzards, high dust environments and its never missed a beat.

The rest of your post is pure speculation that does not conform with any part of Canons history of upgrading 1 series cameras.

In summary - stop worrying about what 'may' be coming out in the future - keep shooting with your 1DSMK3 - its a brilliant camera and mine will have to be prized from my cold dead hand before I let it go.
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Again, I agree with your analysis. When I say 'taken' I mean that an 8K camera should have more than a 1.5 year lifespan between 8K upgrades that could make it much, much better--such as better ISO to noise ratio, and yes, a huge jump in MPs also. The next war aside from the ever warring MP issue is ISO and noise reduction, like the D3 points out. I've used ISO 1600 with the DS3 many times so far, and when you begin using ISO 1600, you get spoiled. I can only image what it would be like to use ISO 6400 and have the files be as useful and noiseless at the D3 is. Unlike having Photoshop to do everything a good photographer use to do, like even changing the direction of the key light by dodging and burning, having the option to shoot at ISO 6400 is a real creative advantage when using natural light.

And the 1DS3 can use ISO 1600, but only if you are aware that you will need to expose the images correctly. If you underexpose at 1600, you get grainy, muddy  images that don't push well at all, and that means using +1-2 stops, which really means you are only getting a shutter speed equal to ISO 400 at +0 compensation.

Of course if the light is right, you can nail the exposure at 0 compensation using ISO 1600, as long as the shadows are not too dark.

What would really pull me in is the ISO noise issue on the DSIV.
Title: Canon 50D @ 15MP, will there be another 5D?
Post by: Josh-H on September 10, 2008, 12:08:22 am
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Again, I agree with your analysis. When I say 'taken' I mean that an 8K camera should have more than a 1.5 year lifespan between 8K upgrades that could make it much, much better--such as better ISO to noise ratio, and yes, a huge jump in MPs also. The next war aside from the ever warring MP issue is ISO and noise reduction, like the D3 points out. I've used ISO 1600 with the DS3 many times so far, and when you begin using ISO 1600, you get spoiled. I can only image what it would be like to use ISO 6400 and have the files be as useful and noiseless at the D3 is. Unlike having Photoshop to do everything a good photographer use to do, like even changing the direction of the key light by dodging and burning, having the option to shoot at ISO 6400 is a real creative advantage when using natural light.

And the 1DS3 can use ISO 1600, but only if you are aware that you will need to expose the images correctly. If you underexpose at 1600, you get grainy, muddy  images that don't push well at all, and that means using +1-2 stops, which really means you are only getting a shutter speed equal to ISO 400 at +0 compensation.

Of course if the light is right, you can nail the exposure at 0 compensation using ISO 1600, as long as the shadows are not too dark.

What would really pull me in is the ISO noise issue on the DSIV.
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I understand the point that you feel an 8k camera should have a longer lifespan than 1.5 years [and IMO it will]. But also bear this in mind.

1. 'IF' [and its a bloody big IF!!!] Canon release a MK4 before the usual 3 year 1 series replacement cycle your MK3 wont suddenly blow up and stop working.

2. The MKIIIs will continue to go on producing stunningly good images for years and years to come.

3. Imagine how Phase P45+ owners feel? They dropped probably close to 30k-40k [depending on the country they bought it in] on their 39 MP back only to see phase announce a 60 MP back within 24 months! Thats progress I am afraid.

Here is the bottom line as far as I am concerned. Use the camera and use it often, its not a matter of if the MK3s will be updated - its simply a matter of when. Until that point and even then until I can actually hold one in my hands keep shooting and realise you are using probably THE best 35mm DSLR on the planet today. When the new model comes [note 'when' - not 'if'] then look at the option to upgrade. But dont worry or fret about it. Just enjoy the magnificient tool we have available to use in the 1DSMK3. Its a brilliant camera, a workhorse and a joy to use. Its the Lamborghini Gallardo of 35mm DSLR's - would you really want to drive anything else? :-)
Title: Canon 50D @ 15MP, will there be another 5D?
Post by: dwdallam on September 10, 2008, 01:24:36 am
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I understand the point that you feel an 8k camera should have a longer lifespan than 1.5 years [and IMO it will]. But also bear this in mind.

1. 'IF' [and its a bloody big IF!!!] Canon release a MK4 before the usual 3 year 1 series replacement cycle your MK3 wont suddenly blow up and stop working.

2. The MKIIIs will continue to go on producing stunningly good images for years and years to come.

3. Imagine how Phase P45+ owners feel? They dropped probably close to 30k-40k [depending on the country they bought it in] on their 39 MP back only to see phase announce a 60 MP back within 24 months! Thats progress I am afraid.

Here is the bottom line as far as I am concerned. Use the camera and use it often, its not a matter of if the MK3s will be updated - its simply a matter of when. Until that point and even then until I can actually hold one in my hands keep shooting and realise you are using probably THE best 35mm DSLR on the planet today. When the new model comes [note 'when' - not 'if'] then look at the option to upgrade. But dont worry or fret about it. Just enjoy the magnificient tool we have available to use in the 1DSMK3. Its a brilliant camera, a workhorse and a joy to use. Its the Lamborghini Gallardo of 35mm DSLR's - would you really want to drive anything else? :-)
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Well, I can't argue with anything you said here, but my point is that if the ds4 comes out in February of 2009, and if it has better noise to ISO plus 40MP, then I wish my 8K would have been spent on THAT camera, not the DS3, even though the DS3 won't blow up. On the other hand, if I had to wait 3 years for the DS4, then buying the DS3 would have been acceptable, or even perhaps a full two years. But I just bought the 1DS3 in I think April, and even though I understand that's the technology, having bought an 8K camera 9 months before it's upgrade (if) is a bit depressing.
Title: Canon 50D @ 15MP, will there be another 5D?
Post by: giles on September 10, 2008, 04:29:16 am
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If the new 50D is a 1400.00 US camera at 15.1MP, how would a 5D2 be marketed in order to keep it from competing with the 1D or 50D market?
You presume Canon care very much about their products not competing with each other; I wouldn't.

I expect Canon would prefer to have a nice balanced line up of models with regular price increments (to get as much money from you as you're willing to spend!), but if the choice comes down to you (and me, and others) buying some Canon DSLR other than the 1Ds-III or buying a non-Canon DSLR, well, that's an easy choice for Canon: one leaves Canon inventory on the shelf and cedes market share to a competitor; one makes Canon a profit.  Shareholders like profit.

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But I just bought the 1DS3 in I think April, and even though I understand that's the technology, having bought an 8K camera 9 months before it's upgrade (if) is a bit depressing.
How I stopped worrying and learned to love depreciation? :-)

If it helps, tell yourself it could be worse, you could be "investing" in cars, which lose value even faster and cost more to run.

Giles
Title: Canon 50D @ 15MP, will there be another 5D?
Post by: Christopher on September 10, 2008, 04:33:46 am
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Well, I can't argue with anything you said here, but my point is that if the ds4 comes out in February of 2009, and if it has better noise to ISO plus 40MP, then I wish my 8K would have been spent on THAT camera, not the DS3, even though the DS3 won't blow up. On the other hand, if I had to wait 3 years for the DS4, then buying the DS3 would have been acceptable, or even perhaps a full two years. But I just bought the 1DS3 in I think April, and even though I understand that's the technology, having bought an 8K camera 9 months before it's upgrade (if) is a bit depressing.
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That's life. It's the same everywhere. You buy Adobe CS3 now, you still have to pay for an upgrade to CS4 in two months. If you buy a car now and there is a newer version 9 months later you still have to drive you old one. What you have to learn is to know the market. When I bought the Mk3 I just bought one expect of two, because when looking at the competition it was very clear that the life span of this camera wasn't longer than 24 months. (I still think it will be around 18 months) So as backup I used my Mk2 and son will get the new 5D. There isn't to much magic in the camera market.

Oh and what will you say as soon as canon shows you the new 5D which supperpasses the Mk3 in many aspects and even is cheaper ;-)
Title: Canon 50D @ 15MP, will there be another 5D?
Post by: Paul2660 on September 10, 2008, 09:14:20 am
"3. Imagine how Phase P45+ owners feel? They dropped probably close to 30k-40k [depending on the country they bought it in] on their 39 MP back only to see phase announce a 60 MP back within 24 months! Thats progress I am afraid."


It's a real mixed bag, the P65 is a big unknown for Phase.  New chip which has a history of noise issues even at lower ISO's.      You also have to remember that Phase does offer an upgrade policy.  I have not seen the quote yet on the P45+ to P65+.  In the past the upgrades were around 10K.  

Paul C
Title: Canon 50D @ 15MP, will there be another 5D?
Post by: stewarthemley on September 10, 2008, 09:18:21 am
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...  New chip which has a history of noise issues even at lower ISO's.   

Paul C
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Not sure how a new chip can have a history of anything!
Title: Canon 50D @ 15MP, will there be another 5D?
Post by: Christopher on September 10, 2008, 11:11:42 am
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Not sure how a new chip can have a history of anything!
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True. The only issue with that kind of sensor were longer exposures and for many that is not so important.
Title: Canon 50D @ 15MP, will there be another 5D?
Post by: dwdallam on September 11, 2008, 12:26:57 am
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That's life. It's the same everywhere. You buy Adobe CS3 now, you still have to pay for an upgrade to CS4 in two months. If you buy a car now and there is a newer version 9 months later you still have to drive you old one. What you have to learn is to know the market. When I bought the Mk3 I just bought one expect of two, because when looking at the competition it was very clear that the life span of this camera wasn't longer than 24 months. (I still think it will be around 18 months) So as backup I used my Mk2 and son will get the new 5D. There isn't to much magic in the camera market.

Oh and what will you say as soon as canon shows you the new 5D which supperpasses the Mk3 in many aspects and even is cheaper ;-)
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If the new 5D comes in at 18+ MPs and offers everything the 1DS3 has, like sealing and speed, I'd say that the 1DS3 is finished as a selling product, has reached it's lifespan,  and watch for the DS4 to show up very soon. I seriously thought about waiting for the 5D, but everyone thought it would be out by now and at 16MPs. I would have bought one too instead of the DS3 most likely. As you say though, yeah that's life.

This Nikon vs. Canon thing reminds me of AMD and Intel in 2005. AMD knocked Intel so far out of the game it was impossible to see how Intel would recover. But they had so many patents and technology just sitting around that they did come back, less than a year alter, and knocked Intel out of the game, a game they still haven't come back to regarding PC CPUs. Timeline for new CPUs was around 2-3 years. In less than a year, Intel counterpunched with a completely new line of CPUs.

Nikon is pushing now. The D3 is no laughing matter with its high ISO low noise capability. They just released their first FF camera, and rumors have it that they will now compete with Canon at the MP level. I'm wondering if Canon will release all their wrath on Nikon, somewhat like Intel did to AMD now that their getting pushed? Less than a two year turnaround for the 1D series cameras, and the DS4 is slated anywhere from 32 to 39 MPs, with of course a variable pixel rate.
Title: Canon 50D @ 15MP, will there be another 5D?
Post by: Christopher on September 11, 2008, 08:30:59 am
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If the new 5D comes in at 18+ MPs and offers everything the 1DS3 has, like sealing and speed, I'd say that the 1DS3 is finished as a selling product, has reached it's lifespan,  and watch for the DS4 to show up very soon. I seriously thought about waiting for the 5D, but everyone thought it would be out by now and at 16MPs. I would have bought one too instead of the DS3 most likely. As you say though, yeah that's life.

This Nikon vs. Canon thing reminds me of AMD and Intel in 2005. AMD knocked Intel so far out of the game it was impossible to see how Intel would recover. But they had so many patents and technology just sitting around that they did come back, less than a year alter, and knocked Intel out of the game, a game they still haven't come back to regarding PC CPUs. Timeline for new CPUs was around 2-3 years. In less than a year, Intel counterpunched with a completely new line of CPUs.

Nikon is pushing now. The D3 is no laughing matter with its high ISO low noise capability. They just released their first FF camera, and rumors have it that they will now compete with Canon at the MP level. I'm wondering if Canon will release all their wrath on Nikon, somewhat like Intel did to AMD now that their getting pushed? Less than a two year turnaround for the 1D series cameras, and the DS4 is slated anywhere from 32 to 39 MPs, with of course a variable pixel rate.
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As with Intel and AMD, Canon really was sleeping the last years. Sorry to say that but the new things from a Mk2 to a Mk3 for nearly three years was not much. I would more say nothing really. 8 Doesn't mean that there weren't improvments. There were some great ones, just not enough really.  So Nikon and Sony really pushed and I think Canon slowly is realizing that they have to push to keep up with them. I am quite sure that we will see a very stronge new 5D.
Title: Canon 50D @ 15MP, will there be another 5D?
Post by: dwdallam on September 12, 2008, 04:11:26 am
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As with Intel and AMD, Canon really was sleeping the last years. Sorry to say that but the new things from a Mk2 to a Mk3 for nearly three years was not much. I would more say nothing really. 8 Doesn't mean that there weren't improvments. There were some great ones, just not enough really.  So Nikon and Sony really pushed and I think Canon slowly is realizing that they have to push to keep up with them. I am quite sure that we will see a very stronge new 5D.
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Yea I agree with that. the 1DS3 was still on Canon's lazy cycle.
Title: Canon 50D @ 15MP, will there be another 5D?
Post by: Ray on September 12, 2008, 08:57:13 am
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Yea I agree with that. the 1DS3 was still on Canon's lazy cycle.
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DWdallam,
Stop crying into your beer. We've all experienced this issue of buying something at a price which is later superceded by something better and cheaper.

This is a game where patience has its rewards.
Title: Canon 50D @ 15MP, will there be another 5D?
Post by: peegeenyc on September 12, 2008, 09:29:44 am
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3. Imagine how Phase P45+ owners feel? They dropped probably close to 30k-40k [depending on the country they bought it in] on their 39 MP back only to see phase announce a 60 MP back within 24 months! Thats progress I am afraid.
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well I respectfully would disagree with that-

The P45+ is carrying on in the Phase range at the same price as its a mighty good back, and has abilities, like long exposures, that the P65+ doesn't have.

more importantly Phase were selling P45+ at the high 20k's street price in the US, and then raised the P65+ to match euro prices (devalued dollar etc) so that it's now high $30k's final price.  so... someone who bought a P45+ at old price has not lost a huge amount as its still an active product, (indeed the product of choice for anyone using long exposures) and is now $12,000 or so cheaper than the P65+, and thats a decent sum to pay off your mortgage!
Title: Canon 50D @ 15MP, will there be another 5D?
Post by: timescapes on September 12, 2008, 02:17:59 pm
Perhaps this is why Canon is delaying the 5DM2.  They know it will kill off the 1DsM3.
Title: Canon 50D @ 15MP, will there be another 5D?
Post by: Christopher on September 12, 2008, 05:04:36 pm
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Perhaps this is why Canon is delaying the 5DM2.  They know it will kill off the 1DsM3.
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why are people always saying it will kill of the 1DsMk3. Will it take some sales from it  Yes, but the 1DsMk3 will still sale. I mean the D3 sells quite well and there still is a D700.
Title: Canon 50D @ 15MP, will there be another 5D?
Post by: BJL on September 12, 2008, 05:27:14 pm
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why are people always saying it will kill of the 1DsMk3. Will it take some sales from it  Yes, but the 1DsMk3 will still sale. I mean the D3 sells quite well and there still is a D700.
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I totally agree.
Cameras that use exactly the same "sensors", in the form of 35mm film in 24x36mm format, vary in cost from under $100 to about $2000 or even more. So clearly sensors are far from the whole story of a good SLR's market value. The prices above suggest that there could be room for a roughly $2000 premium for an EOS-1 class body over a more humble model with identical sensor. Nikon has chosen the same number for D700 ($3,000) vs D3 ($5,000).

But maybe the current $5000 gap from 5D/D700/A900 class to 1Ds class will not be sustainable; we can hope for some downward price pressure on the 24x36mm format high end.
Title: Canon 50D @ 15MP, will there be another 5D?
Post by: BobDavid on September 12, 2008, 08:41:13 pm
It all boils down to what you shoot, how you shoot, and where you shoot.
Title: Canon 50D @ 15MP, will there be another 5D?
Post by: dwdallam on September 13, 2008, 12:31:09 am
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why are people always saying it will kill of the 1DsMk3. Will it take some sales from it  Yes, but the 1DsMk3 will still sale. I mean the D3 sells quite well and there still is a D700.
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People say it because it is true. Consider that the only option right now is the 5D, the 1D, or the 1DS3. Remembering the quality and technical acumen of each model, and their concomitant prices, toss in a 5DII at 18MP with the same image quality as was the 5D compared to the 1DS2 and you will have tons of people opting for the 5D2, just like they did when the 5D came out. Remember that it's 3300 not 8000. That's why. Or course you are right that people will still buy the 1DS3, but much less so.
Title: Canon 50D @ 15MP, will there be another 5D?
Post by: Ken Bennett on September 13, 2008, 02:34:52 pm
The 1Ds3 market is inherently limited to people who want or need the professional-level camera. Recall what happened when Canon introduced the 5D: many people suggested that it would kill sales of the 1Ds Mark II, while at the exact same time, others were complaining that the 5D didn't have weather sealing and a robust professional build, etc. To state that they are different cameras is to belabor the obvious, yet it seems that many people don't see that difference.

Recall that Canon sold a ton of 5D bodies, while sales of the 1Ds Mark II remained good. They are two different cameras -- just like the D3 and the D700 -- and those who need the D3 will buy it, regardless of the existence of the D700.

Once a 5D replacement comes out (Now with a Gazillion Megapixels!), Canon will again sell a bunch of them. Will some people choose the 5D Mark Whatever over the 1Ds Mark III? Sure -- but those people by definition don't *need* the features of the Mark III, or they would be buying it instead.

I can't tell anyone what camera to buy. Heck, they all make good pictures these days, so maybe it doesn't really matter.
Title: Canon 50D @ 15MP, will there be another 5D?
Post by: Ray on September 13, 2008, 10:02:42 pm
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Once a 5D replacement comes out (Now with a Gazillion Megapixels!), Canon will again sell a bunch of them. Will some people choose the 5D Mark Whatever over the 1Ds Mark III? Sure -- but those people by definition don't *need* the features of the Mark III, or they would be buying it instead.

I can't tell anyone what camera to buy. Heck, they all make good pictures these days, so maybe it doesn't really matter.
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I agree. Apart from the additional features like better weather sealing and sometimes better autofocussing (the 1 series can autofocus when the maximum aperture is F8, can't it), the 1 series is a generally more robust and durable piece of equipment.

The 5D shutter is good for 100,000 shots. Good enough for the casual shooter or amateur but not necessarily the professional. I think I'm getting close to the 100,000 mark with my 5D. A few months ago, whilst out shooting one day without any back-up camera, the mirror fell off my 5D. Well, that was the end of the day's shooting and it was still early afternoon. The best light was yet to come and I had no camera. For the next few weeks whilst the 5D was being repaired I used my 20D.

A similar principle applies to tools in general. The elctric drill at an amazingly cheap price in Wal-Mart is fine for the handyman who is likely to use the drill just occasionally. But the professional tradesman who uses a drill almost every day of his life would likely not wish to rely upon that cheap Wal-Mart drill.
Title: Canon 50D @ 15MP, will there be another 5D?
Post by: dwdallam on September 14, 2008, 02:03:36 am
What you have to remember is that my criteria has the 5D weather sealed and at 18MPs. And remember also that the AI Servo autofocus is not the best with the 1D or the 1DS3. They had lots of problems with that and after having a couple of firmware updates gave up on it. It's ok is many situations, but still lacking in others.
http://www.robgalbraith.com/bins/multi_pag...-8740-9068-9357 (http://www.robgalbraith.com/bins/multi_page.asp?cid=7-8740-9068-9357)

So let's speculate that the new 5D will  autofocus as well as the 1DS3 and comes in at 18MPs, ISO noise comparable or better than the 1DS3, and weather sealed to beat out hell. I think the 1DS3 at that point would take a big hit. Remember also that the research I've done says the 1DS4 is coming out in February-ish. If that is also true, then the reason is that the 1DS3 would lose it's marketability--otherwise they'd keep selling it. Remember too that the Digic4 is now out. That would put the 5D2 with the new processor. The 5D and the IDS2 had the same processor.

My conclusion is that comparing the sales of the 1DS2 vs the 5D is not at all like comparing the 1DS3 vs the new 5D (given my parameters for that particular camera's update). I also conclude that when the new 5D comes out, if it has my parameters above or very similar parameters, the 1DS4 will come out within six months of the new 5D to offset the slumping 1DS3 sales.

Notes:
Yes, my parameters could be way off and then the 1DS3 has a nice long life after the 5D2 comes out.
Title: Canon 50D @ 15MP, will there be another 5D?
Post by: Josh-H on September 14, 2008, 06:50:54 am
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Remember also that the research I've done says the 1DS4 is coming out in February-ish.

Says who??
Title: Canon 50D @ 15MP, will there be another 5D?
Post by: dwdallam on September 15, 2008, 06:48:58 am
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Says who??
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I don't save that sort of research. Do a search with 1DS4 and IDS MKIV and see what ya get.
Title: Canon 50D @ 15MP, will there be another 5D?
Post by: Josh-H on September 15, 2008, 07:35:24 pm
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I don't save that sort of research. Do a search with 1DS4 and IDS MKIV and see what ya get.
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I did - all I got was a bunch of unsubstantiated irresponsible rumor mongering.

Why cant people just enjoy their cameras instead of constantly worrying and fretting about a new model *scratches head*
Title: Canon 50D @ 15MP, will there be another 5D?
Post by: dwdallam on September 16, 2008, 02:50:38 am
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I did - all I got was a bunch of unsubstantiated irresponsible rumor mongering.

Why cant people just enjoy their cameras instead of constantly worrying and fretting about a new model *scratches head*
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Well you are right about that, but I was only surmising using assumptions from people like Bob Atkins and other people at that level. But yes, only rumors.

Not only that but why should Canon release anything above the 1DS3 at this point, except a better lower pixel camera to compete with Nikon's latest offering? They could do the 5DII in 15 MP with the same or nearly the ISO noise level as the D3 and Nikon would be sucking hind tit because they would then not have anything to compete with Canon.
Title: Canon 50D @ 15MP, will there be another 5D?
Post by: Christopher on September 16, 2008, 04:50:03 am
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Well you are right about that, but I was only surmising using assumptions from people like Bob Atkins and other people at that level. But yes, only rumors.

Not only that but why should Canon release anything above the 1DS3 at this point, except a better lower pixel camera to compete with Nikon's latest offering? They could do the 5DII in 15 MP with the same or nearly the ISO noise level as the D3 and Nikon would be sucking hind tit because they would then not have anything to compete with Canon.
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Well, because people are loosing faith in Canon. I'm pretty certain Canon wants to show Nikon and Sony that they are still at the top off the game and this can be done by showing a 5D that kills a A900 in all aspects.
Title: Canon 50D @ 15MP, will there be another 5D?
Post by: lovell on September 16, 2008, 01:42:32 pm
Lets look at history.  When the 5D came out, it bettered the 1DS Mark I.  It bettered the 1DS Mark II except for resolution which is just a tad better with the 1DS Mark II.  I had the 1DS Mark II for nearly a year, then replaced it with 3 5D's for the lower noise of the 5D's and just a small step down in resolution.

So if history repeats it's self, then the replacement to the 5D will provide BETTER IQ then the 1DS Mark III.  This has happened before and I think it will happen again.  And based on that, I guess the 5D replacement will be 16-20 MP, and provide lower noise then the 1DS Mark III, higher ISO's too.

Will the replacement 5D kill 1DS Mark III sales?  YES, justs like the 5D killed 1DS Mark II sales, yes, of course!

Canon is not stupid; they know this, and they are going in resolved to this.  And they prepared for it by introducing the 1DS Mark III BEFORE the 5D replacement in order to get as many Mark III sales as possible before the the 5D is replaced.

The primary things one gets with the 1D series over the non-1D series is features, build, sealing, FPS, dual flash cards, better ergos, and much less often to do with offering better IQ.  This is something that is very hard to accept by owners of 1D series bodies.  I had two 1D Mark II's and one 1DS Mark II and I can easily write this.  The 5D is that freaking good.  Still, I'm looking forward to the 5D replacement and will probably get two of those over a 1DS Mark III.
Title: Canon 50D @ 15MP, will there be another 5D?
Post by: lovell on September 16, 2008, 01:47:36 pm
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Well, because people are loosing faith in Canon. I'm pretty certain Canon wants to show Nikon and Sony that they are still at the top off the game and this can be done by showing a 5D that kills a A900 in all aspects.
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The only people "losing faith" in Canon are the gear heads, and the technorati.

The serious photographers know right up front that Canon will meet or beat the competition in time.  

The DSLR market is not sport.  Go watch an NBA game or something ;-)
Title: Canon 50D @ 15MP, will there be another 5D?
Post by: Josh-H on September 16, 2008, 06:49:39 pm
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The only people "losing faith" in Canon are the gear heads, and the technorati.

The serious photographers know right up front that Canon will meet or beat the competition in time. 

The DSLR market is not sport.  Go watch an NBA game or something ;-)
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Well said.
Title: Canon 50D @ 15MP, will there be another 5D?
Post by: dwdallam on September 17, 2008, 03:30:03 am
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Well, because people are loosing faith in Canon. I'm pretty certain Canon wants to show Nikon and Sony that they are still at the top off the game and this can be done by showing a 5D that kills a A900 in all aspects.
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How are they losing faith in Canon? I've never heard such a thing. Canon has the best FF camera in the world.
Title: Canon 50D @ 15MP, will there be another 5D?
Post by: Josh-H on September 17, 2008, 03:36:35 am
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Canon has the best FF camera in the world.
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AMEN brother.
Title: Canon 50D @ 15MP, will there be another 5D?
Post by: dwdallam on September 17, 2008, 03:37:27 am
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Lets look at history.  When the 5D came out, it bettered the 1DS Mark I.  It bettered the 1DS Mark II except for resolution which is just a tad better with the 1DS Mark II.  I had the 1DS Mark II for nearly a year, then replaced it with 3 5D's for the lower noise of the 5D's and just a small step down in resolution.

So if history repeats it's self, then the replacement to the 5D will provide BETTER IQ then the 1DS Mark III.  This has happened before and I think it will happen again.  And based on that, I guess the 5D replacement will be 16-20 MP, and provide lower noise then the 1DS Mark III, higher ISO's too.

Will the replacement 5D kill 1DS Mark III sales?  YES, justs like the 5D killed 1DS Mark II sales, yes, of course!

Canon is not stupid; they know this, and they are going in resolved to this.  And they prepared for it by introducing the 1DS Mark III BEFORE the 5D replacement in order to get as many Mark III sales as possible before the the 5D is replaced.

The primary things one gets with the 1D series over the non-1D series is features, build, sealing, FPS, dual flash cards, better ergos, and much less often to do with offering better IQ.  This is something that is very hard to accept by owners of 1D series bodies.  I had two 1D Mark II's and one 1DS Mark II and I can easily write this.  The 5D is that freaking good.  Still, I'm looking forward to the 5D replacement and will probably get two of those over a 1DS Mark III.
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21MPs.

From DPR site:

[a href=\"http://www.dpreview.com/news/0809/08091705canon_5dmarkII.asp]http://www.dpreview.com/news/0809/08091705canon_5dmarkII.asp[/url]

Pre-Photokina 2008: After a week or so of teaser ads Canon has finally unveiled the successor to the venerable EOS 5D, the world's first 'compact' full frame digital SLR. The EOS 5D Mark II boasts a new 21MP CMOS sensor, an expanded ISO range of 50-25,600 and a wealth of improvements and new features including full 1080p HD movie recording, live view, 3.0" 920k dot LCD, DIGIC IV processor, increased battery capacity and sensor dust reduction. UPDATE: Body-only prices: US: $ 2,699, EU: € 2,499, UK: £ 2,299.

Since the camera has been announced, this thread should close and another open for discussions around teh new 5D MKII and how it's bad or good or both.

Unsubscribing . . .
Title: Canon 50D @ 15MP, will there be another 5D?
Post by: Tony Beach on September 17, 2008, 12:17:24 pm
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Canon has the best FF camera in the world.
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For me, the best camera in the world is the one I have in my hand.
Title: Canon 50D @ 15MP, will there be another 5D?
Post by: BJL on September 17, 2008, 02:31:13 pm
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Canon has the best FF camera in the world.
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That depends on the user's needs and wants:
- For those to whom frame rates higher that 5fps are important, Nikon has the two best 35mmFF cameras in the world.
- For those who own lots of good Minolta/Sony [resp. Nikon] lenses, or who find those lens systems better suited to their needs that Canon's, Sony [resp. Nikon] has the best 35mmFF camera in the world.
- And of course for many others, the 1DsMKIII or even 5DMkII is the best option.

Let us not get into simplistic "camera X is better than camera Y" debates.