I understand, not knowing is stressful. But what if we just don't know, you may want a better answer but maybe there isn't one.
Removing restrictions also carries risk. As I asked earlier, what is going to happen between now and the time that restrictions are removed to mitigate against a resurgence of infections. Doesn't seem to me that we know that either. Doesn't that unknown bother you?
I don't think that we can rely on some of the magic that has been touted up till now. Spring temperature increases probably won't slow down infection, it has been warm in the southern US throughout this period and that didn't stop transmission. We won't have "herd immunity" yet (and I think people are confused about what that means anyway). We won't have vaccines and not likely to have good treatments soon enough, although we might get lucky with that. So if restrictions are removed and we end up back where we are now, won't we have wasted a lot of time and effort.
Well, let's start planning off of what we know, not what we dont. Pretty simple.
No, that unknown does not bother me at this time. Plus, NYC, the current epi-center, has had no fatalities due to lack of care. So, I think our healthcare system is up to the task.
If spring temps wont slow down infections, then we are screwed either way. I'd rather only be screwed one way, from the virus, then two ways, from the virus and a total collapse. Pretty simple stuff. And the idea that we can continue this until August, or longer, is foolhardy to say the least.
Not to mention we can start opening up parts of the economy that are not as risky and allow those who are of lower risk get back out there.
All pretty simple, and it is going to happen. We can either have a controlled version, or people are going to stop caring and do it anyway.
Rep. Andy Biggs, a Republican from AZ, just yesterday on the radio said, "I think it's time ... for Dr. Fauci to move along, I mean, he shouldn't have a seat at the table. He shouldn't be making decisions that are basically impacting this country in a way that we haven't even considered. ... he has not considered economic or societal or social fallout for his remedy for the epidemic. And if that's the case, I think he gets some credit for where we stand today, but I think it's time for him to move on. ... Look, if you've got a retail shop and you open up there isn't anybody in Arizona, nobody is going to stop you,"
Is this the release you want, uncontrolled where everyone scoffs at the law, or something more controlled. Either way, something will happen.