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Author Topic: Trump II  (Read 1380634 times)

Alan Klein

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Re: Trump II
« Reply #1480 on: March 16, 2017, 08:13:18 pm »

Don't think Obama has any "power" left to take any official action, why would the IRS listen to someone that isn't even considered a legal US citizen by the current POTUS incumbent? But I agree they will never be released because they probably paint a very different picture from the leaked 2005 one (and even that one might be a fake).
Obama left a loyal mole in every federal agency to do his dirty work to undermine Trump.  In case you hadn't heard, Obama is a US citizen.  It took him 5 years to provide the evidence, his birth certificate.  Trump figures that gives him the right to similarly wait  5 years to show the evidence his lines were tapped. 

Alan Klein

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Re: Trump II
« Reply #1481 on: March 16, 2017, 08:18:20 pm »

The United States spends only slightly more on the military than the next seven countries combined, so obviously we need to dramatically increase military spending at the expense of everything else.
I agree we shouldn't increase the military budget. We should have NATO countries, Japan, etc pay more for their defense so we can cut back. 

Alan Klein

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Re: Trump II
« Reply #1482 on: March 16, 2017, 08:25:17 pm »

Yep..."sometimes with catastrophic effects, and sometimes with beneficial effects" But it's foolish to say do nothing because "climate science does not allow for scientific certainty on the effects on the world climate, that rising levels of CO2 might have"

But...in the FIRST article I pointed to it said "The science around climate security is definitive enough for action: the military knows that you cannot have 100% certainty before acting."

it's that you cannot have 100% certainty before acting that climate change deniers cling to...

Well, if you wait until we are 100% sure of the disastrous effects of climate change, it'll be too f#&king late!

And it doesn't make sense to spend LESS money studying the problem does it?

Trump budget would gut EPA programs tackling climate change and pollution
Proposal would cut Environmental Protection Agency’s funding by nearly a third, as budget director calls money spent to combat climate change a ‘waste’

Yeah, cut funding to study the environment so we can get some shiny new bullets!

Where would you spend the money?  How much?  Where should the money come from?  Are you willing to reduce your Social Security and Medicare? By how much? Will you accept that your taxes will go up?  How much do you think you should pay? Will you take care of workers displaced by lost jobs? What will you tell those without running water, heat and electricity in poor areas of the world that because cheap carbon fuel isn't available, they'll have to continue to crap behind the nearest bush and freeze during the winter? 

LesPalenik

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Re: Trump II
« Reply #1483 on: March 16, 2017, 09:21:38 pm »

Just finished watching Steve Paiken's interview on TVO (Canadian production) with Dr. Richard Haass, discussing his latest book, "A World in Disarray: American Foreign Policy and the Crisis of the Old World Order."  30 minutes long video, well worth watching.

Richard Haass Interview

Amazon reviews of his book
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Ray

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Re: Trump II
« Reply #1484 on: March 16, 2017, 09:45:39 pm »

Yep..."sometimes with catastrophic effects, and sometimes with beneficial effects" But it's foolish to say do nothing because "climate science does not allow for scientific certainty on the effects on the world climate, that rising levels of CO2 might have"

But...in the FIRST article I pointed to it said "The science around climate security is definitive enough for action: the military knows that you cannot have 100% certainty before acting."

it's that you cannot have 100% certainty before acting that climate change deniers cling to...

Well, if you wait until we are 100% sure of the disastrous effects of climate change, it'll be too f#&king late!

And it doesn't make sense to spend LESS money studying the problem does it?

Trump budget would gut EPA programs tackling climate change and pollution
Proposal would cut Environmental Protection Agency’s funding by nearly a third, as budget director calls money spent to combat climate change a ‘waste’

Yeah, cut funding to study the environment so we can get some shiny new bullets!

There's no 100% certainty on anything, Jeff. The sorts of questions we should ask ourselves are:

(1) What are the specific consequences of a change in climate that we should be worried about? I suggest they are a possible increase in the intensity and frequency of extreme weather events such as droughts, floods, cyclones, heatwaves, and so on.
However, as I mentioned, the IPCC has acknowledged that there is no sound evidence so far that this is happening, although the media tends not to listen and repeats the mantra in its fake news that every extreme weather event is the worst on record.

(2) In view of the uncertainty of the effects of CO2 on climate, is there another, more certain way of protecting ourselves from extreme weather events than spending trillions of dollars trying to reduce CO2 levels?

(3) Which is more certain; that we will continue to experience a repition of previous, known floods and droughts which have occurred in the past, and which we know were not caused by human-produced CO2...or that the increased severity of extreme weather events will be unprecedented due to rising CO2 levels?

The major problem that humanity faces is its inability to learn from history and do the sensible thing. If one builds a house in a flood plain that has a known record of being flooded every 20 or 30 years for the past 200 years, then one should expect that one's house will be subject to flooding within the next 20 or 30 years, depending in part on the date of the previous flood. The only uncertainty is the time period. There might be a major flood within the next 10 years, or it might not take place for another 40 years.

What is the best way to protect your house from such flooding? Reduce CO2 levels, or make sure your house is built on piers well above the height of the worst floods in the past?

The really sad thing is, the emphasis on economic development tends to prevent governments and local councils introducing proper building codes in areas that have a history of floods and/or cyclones, not only because most people would be put off by the additional expense of constructing their home on sturdy piers 4 metres or more above the ground, but also because advertising the catastrophe's of past weather events in a particular region would tend to discourage people to settle there.

If you want an example of true denial, Jeff, it's not the skeptics who are doubtful about the threat of rising CO2 levels, but those who disregard the history of extreme weather events and kid themselves that what has occurred in the past will not be repeated if we successfully reduce our CO2 emissions.

On the issue of Trumps budget proposal to cut expenditure on tackling pollution, I cannot agree with that. But again, is this another example of fake news. CO2 is often described as a pollutant, but it's not. It's a clean, clear, odourless gas which is essential for all life, and our planet is greener as a result of the increased levels of CO2 that we have introduced into the atmosphere. There is also a very significant 'fertilization' effect of increased levels of CO2 worth billions of dollars of increased crop production worldwide.
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Alan Klein

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Re: Trump II
« Reply #1485 on: March 16, 2017, 10:23:48 pm »



...What is the best way to protect your house from such flooding? Reduce CO2 levels, or make sure your house is built on piers well above the height of the worst floods in the past?

The really sad thing is, the emphasis on economic development tends to prevent governments and local councils introducing proper building codes in areas that have a history of floods and/or cyclones, not only because most people would be put off by the additional expense of constructing their home on sturdy piers 4 metres or more above the ground, but also because advertising the catastrophe's of past weather events in a particular region would tend to discourage people to settle there.


I live in NJ.  When I drive along the shore, I see many homes that were damaged during Hurricane Sandy were re-built on stilts.  People of course still want to live by the ocean and are willing to take the risk.  I'm glad I'm inland.  Before Sandy, my wife an I were looking to buy a home on the south shore of Long Island NY.  Then I looked at the FEMA maps and realized most of the places  were in flood zones so we changed our minds. 

I'm curious with what is happening and will happen with wet lands as the ocean levels rise?  They will expand.  Won't that be good for the species there?  The government is always telling us to protect these wet lands.  You think they'd be happy with more water.

LesPalenik

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Re: Trump II
« Reply #1486 on: March 16, 2017, 10:47:35 pm »

Alan,
See my post #1436 from earlier today (that's almost 100 posts in one day!)

  • Louisiana's swamps will disappear as sea levels rise 4 times faster than world average
...
  • Everglades come next?
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Schewe

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Re: Trump II
« Reply #1487 on: March 17, 2017, 01:13:38 am »

(1) What are the specific consequences of a change in climate that we should be worried about? I suggest they are a possible increase in the intensity and frequency of extreme weather events such as droughts, floods, cyclones, heatwaves, and so on.
However, as I mentioned, the IPCC has acknowledged that there is no sound evidence so far that this is happening, although the media tends not to listen and repeats the mantra in its fake news that every extreme weather event is the worst on record.

Pardon me and I mean no disrespect but do you care to cite where you read than the "IPCC has acknowledged that there is no sound evidence so far that this is happening". I can't find anything like this on https://www.ipcc.ch

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(2) In view of the uncertainty of the effects of CO2 on climate, is there another, more certain way of protecting ourselves from extreme weather events than spending trillions of dollars trying to reduce CO2 levels?

Uh, what uncertainty? Again care to cite where you read that?

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(3) Which is more certain; that we will continue to experience a repition of previous, known floods and droughts which have occurred in the past, and which we know were not caused by human-produced CO2...or that the increased severity of extreme weather events will be unprecedented due to rising CO2 levels?

Pretty sure the science says "the increased severity of extreme weather events will be unprecedented due to rising CO2 levels". Yep, pretty sure that's what about 97% of climate scientists would say. Pretty sure the EPA thinks that...ya might wanna check out this web site:

Climate Impacts on Human Health which is a summary of a more advanced Climate and Health Assessment by the globalchange.gov

Now, this all presupposes that one is not inclined to look at the EPA as a total waste of money and whose budget should be be slashed as reported by scientificamerican.com.

Trump Budget Cuts Funds for EPA by 31 Percent

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President Trump's budget released this morning aims directly at programs addressing climate change by eliminating funds for the Clean Power Plan and "reorienting" U.S. EPA on air pollution.

The blueprint calls for a 31 percent spending reduction for EPA, slashing its budget by $2.6 billion. Environmental advocates described it as a crippling blow to an agency at the vanguard of climate action.

The budget also seeks a 5.6 percent cut to the Energy Department and a 12 percent decrease for the Interior Department (Energywire, March 16). It also slashes funding for Secretary of State Rex Tillerson's agency by 28 percent.

You write...

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But again, is this another example of fake news. CO2 is often described as a pollutant, but it's not. It's a clean, clear, odourless gas which is essential for all life, and our planet is greener as a result of the increased levels of CO2 that we have introduced into the atmosphere.

Yeah, ya know, CO2 is indeed a natural gas that is needed in the atmosphere but...if you look at all of the natural excretion of CO2 compared to the CO2 that humans create, the earth can not maintain an equilibrium...particularly when one of the things human are doing is leveling huge swaths of rainforest and other natural CO2 absorbers. Pretty sure humans care cause far more CO2 than can be absorbed and that excess human made CO2 is indeed a pollutant if you accept that a a pollutant is a substance or energy introduced into the environment that has undesired effects, or adversely affects the usefulness of a resource?

But CO2 is only a portion of the human activity that is a problem.

Overview of Greenhouse Gases

Quote
Carbon dioxide (CO2): Carbon dioxide enters the atmosphere through burning fossil fuels (coal, natural gas, and oil), solid waste, trees and wood products, and also as a result of certain chemical reactions (e.g., manufacture of cement). Carbon dioxide is removed from the atmosphere (or "sequestered") when it is absorbed by plants as part of the biological carbon cycle.

Methane (CH4): Methane is emitted during the production and transport of coal, natural gas, and oil. Methane emissions also result from livestock and other agricultural practices and by the decay of organic waste in municipal solid waste landfills.

Nitrous oxide (N2O): Nitrous oxide is emitted during agricultural and industrial activities, as well as during combustion of fossil fuels and solid waste.

Fluorinated gases: Hydrofluorocarbons, perfluorocarbons, sulfur hexafluoride, and nitrogen trifluoride are synthetic, powerful greenhouse gases that are emitted from a variety of industrial processes. Fluorinated gases are sometimes used as substitutes for stratospheric ozone-depleting substances (e.g., chlorofluorocarbons, hydrochlorofluorocarbons, and halons). These gases are typically emitted in smaller quantities, but because they are potent greenhouse gases, they are sometimes referred to as High Global Warming Potential gases ("High GWP gases").

So care to cite your sources? I've cited some of mine...

Edited to fix a typo
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pegelli

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Re: Trump II
« Reply #1488 on: March 17, 2017, 02:05:20 am »

Obama left a loyal mole in every federal agency to do his dirty work to undermine Trump. 
Any evidence (real evidence, not FOX like media) on this? Not that there are people left appointed under his government, but that they are currently working for Obama to undermine Trump.

In case you hadn't heard, Obama is a US citizen.  It took him 5 years to provide the evidence, his birth certificate.  Trump figures that gives him the right to similarly wait  5 years to show the evidence his lines were tapped.
No, it took several of those 5 years for Trump to accept the birth certificate that Obama provided as "real". I hope we can determine if the leaked 2005 Trump tax return is real or not a bit faster then that.
« Last Edit: March 17, 2017, 05:17:26 am by pegelli »
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pieter, aka pegelli

laughingbear

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Re: Trump II
« Reply #1489 on: March 17, 2017, 03:59:14 am »

If it would not be so sad, you would laugh your ass off:

Quote
According to public opinion polls, Americans believe nearly a third of the budget goes to international aid. In reality, it’s less than 1 percent.

http://www.politifact.com/global-news/statements/2016/nov/09/john-kerry/yep-most-people-clueless-us-foreign-aid-spending/

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A survey of Fox News viewers from 2013 showed nearly half believed most federal debt could be eliminated by “cutting waste and fraud.”

http://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2017/02/13/trumps-budget-bluff

Without a doubt, with this budget, Trump shows the middle finger to the working class who voted for him.

You couldn't make it up.
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Slobodan Blagojevic

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Re: Trump II
« Reply #1490 on: March 17, 2017, 06:49:20 am »

Depends how one sees "international aid." Narrowly, bureaucratically defined (1%) or, as most people see it, military "aid" to foreign countries, that is, our interventions around the world, being the "world's policeman" and such.
« Last Edit: March 17, 2017, 09:43:54 am by Slobodan Blagojevic »
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Otto Phocus

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Re: Trump II
« Reply #1491 on: March 17, 2017, 06:57:46 am »

Otto:  But what about the process used to vet people, not the EO itself.

I do not have detailed information on the vetting process so I can't opine on it.

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Why do you feel it's immoral to use a foreigner's religion as one determinant to identify him or her as a terrorist?   

1.  Empiracle evidence shows that the vast majority of people of any religion are law abiding people.
2.  There are few objective observables that can be used to identify subscription to a specific religion.  The few that we do have are easily changed or concealed.
3.  The group of people we want to guard against are baddies and baddies have no problems lying.  How do you prove that someone is lying about their subscription to a religion (see item 2)?  Baddies can shave and baddies can even wear baseball caps, made in China, proclaiming "Make America Great" -- especially if they wish enter the US under false pretenses.
4.  In the United States, we have a fantasy of a culture open to religious freedom. We have been somewhat successful in this, but patently discriminating against a religion would probably do more harm than good, especially since it really won't have much of an impact on the entry of baddies.

Instead of subscription to a religion, I feel that past actions are a better indicator of the risk of a person.  However, you will only catch the stupid people that way.  Someone really smart who wants to infiltrate the US to do bad things will not have a publicly retrievable history of talking about bad stuff.

It is a hard question.  If I had the answer, I sure would not be wasting my time posting on a photography forum.  ;D

We just have to make sure that the "cure" is not worse then the "disease".
« Last Edit: March 17, 2017, 10:22:34 am by Otto Phocus »
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Bart_van_der_Wolf

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Re: Trump II
« Reply #1492 on: March 17, 2017, 07:34:32 am »

Just finished watching Steve Paiken's interview on TVO (Canadian production) with Dr. Richard Haass, discussing his latest book, "A World in Disarray: American Foreign Policy and the Crisis of the Old World Order."  30 minutes long video, well worth watching.

Richard Haass Interview

Amazon reviews of his book

Hi Les,

Thanks for these references. Good info and a balanced view on the state of affairs and the direction we propably should take.

Cheers,
Bart
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Bart_van_der_Wolf

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Re: Trump II
« Reply #1493 on: March 17, 2017, 08:07:54 am »

There's no 100% certainty on anything, Jeff. The sorts of questions we should ask ourselves are:

(1) What are the specific consequences of a change in climate that we should be worried about? I suggest they are a possible increase in the intensity and frequency of extreme weather events such as droughts, floods, cyclones, heatwaves, and so on.
However, as I mentioned, the IPCC has acknowledged that there is no sound evidence so far that this is happening, although the media tends not to listen and repeats the mantra in its fake news that every extreme weather event is the worst on record.

Hi Ray,

Like Jeff (and presumably others), I'm also curious as to what source you use for the claim that you yourself emphasized in bold.

When I read the Policymakers summary by the IPCC, it reads on page 4:
Quote
Warming of the climate system is unequivocal, and since the 1950s, many of the observed
changes  are  unprecedented  over  decades  to  millennia
.  The  atmosphere  and  ocean  have 
warmed,  the  amounts  of  snow  and  ice  have  diminished,  sea  level  has  risen,  and  the 
concentrations of greenhouse gases have increased (see Figures SPM.1, SPM.2, SPM.3 and
SPM.4).
Emphasis in bold is mine.

If you like, you can also delve into the full 1552 page assessment report for some more detail, but I have not yet finished reading all of that myself. It's a pity that it is dated 2013 because things are still accelerating, so 3 years later there will be significantly changed actual figures to worry about. But obviously such reports do not get published overnight, it too takes a lot of work to collect, prepare and present.

So, I'm curious what your sources are.

Cheers,
Bart
« Last Edit: March 17, 2017, 08:34:20 am by BartvanderWolf »
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Petrus

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Re: Trump II
« Reply #1494 on: March 17, 2017, 08:56:25 am »

particularly when one of the things human are doing is leveling huge swaths of rainforest and other natural CO2 absorbers.

Rain forests do not absorb any CO2, decaying (same as slow burning) trees and other organic matter releases EXACTLY the same amount of CO2 those same organisms captured when growing up. If rain forests did absorb CO2 as claimed, there would have to be huge and thick beds of pure C (coal) under the forest, but actually there is none, nada, zero. The soil is typically just a few inches thick. If the rain forest did absorb CO2, where is it?

Of course cutting down and burning forests release CO2 prematurely, which is not reabsorbed if the forest does not grow back. But generally a normal living forest does not absorb net CO2 at all, it is in equilibrium. Only if the forest is turning into a swamp where organic material is buried and does not decay, more CO2 is absorbed than released.

Steady state forests as some kind of CO2 absorbers is a common fallacy and often repeated, but any thinking person can understand why it is not so. Where is the claimed absorbed carbon?
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Bart_van_der_Wolf

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Re: Trump II
« Reply #1495 on: March 17, 2017, 09:21:32 am »

Rain forests do not absorb any CO2, decaying (same as slow burning) trees and other organic matter releases EXACTLY the same amount of CO2 those same organisms captured when growing up.

Well, not exactly the same (part of it is food for other species and fungi and other micro-organisms), and certainly not at the same rate. It makes a difference if a tree needs 10-years to grow, and (after polluting transportation and preparation) e.g. burning it in hours. And the burning won't just release the CO2 back into the atmosphere, it also releases a shitload of other stuff like sulfur, heavy metals, and other elements.

Quote
Of course cutting down and burning forests release CO2 prematurely, which is not reabsorbed if the forest does not grow back. But generally a normal living forest does not absorb net CO2 at all, it is in equilibrium.

It's rather an ecosystem, on which many different species of living creatures and other plants thrive in symbiosis or with other dependencies.

As I also linked to before, Ocean Acidification is another factor of huge importance that is closely related to the amount of atmospheric CO2 (if that's the only compound we're looking at).

Quote
Where is the claimed absorbed carbon?

Reducing(!!!) amounts are absorbed by the oceans as the atmospheric CO2 levels increase, depending on the amount it has to process at any given time. This accelerates the airborne amount of CO2. It is IMHO a mistake to focus only on one aspect of a complex chemical (im)balance.

But according to Trump, it's all a waste of money.

Cheers,
Bart
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Slobodan Blagojevic

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Re: Trump II
« Reply #1496 on: March 17, 2017, 09:46:33 am »

Candidate Trump:

Quote
We’ve spent $4 trillion trying to topple various people that, frankly, if they were there and if we could have spent that $4 trillion in the United States to fix our roads, our bridges, and all of the other problems — our airports and all the other problems we have — we would have been a lot better off, I can tell you that right now.

We have done a tremendous disservice not only to the Middle East — we’ve done a tremendous disservice to humanity. The people that have been killed, the people that have been wiped away — and for what? It’s not like we had victory. It’s a mess. The Middle East is totally destabilized, a total and complete mess. I wish we had the 4 trillion dollars or 5 trillion dollars. I wish it were spent right here in the United States on schools, hospitals, roads, airports, and everything else that are all falling apart!

Something I can agree with and why many people voted for him.

His budget, however...

Alan Goldhammer

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Re: Trump II
« Reply #1497 on: March 17, 2017, 09:47:28 am »

This is a great reason for smaller government.  Just let the industries die that need to die and let people figure out how to move forward.  Cut out the cronyism. 

As soon as government gets involved, industries get put on life support for no reason.  Dems and Reps are just as guilty with this, only with different industries.
Whether you like the Koch brothers or not, one of their key goals is to end all tax preferences even those that might benefit their own companies.  I could go along with this but there are instances when a new technology might need some assistance to get going (e.g., alternative energy)

Quote
My brother is about as far left as possible and writes for a far left blog.  He recently made a stink about Philly checking train tickets at the station instead of on the train, which will ultimately kill some of the jobs for train conductors. 

If it is more efficient, let it happen.  I feel like it is was up to him, we would still have cabooses on every train filled with workers ready to run across the tops of the cars to manually spin the brakes on so jobs are not lost. 
There is always New Jersey who to this day do not permit self serve pumps in gas stations.  Think of all the jobs that preserves.

Quote
Reps do the same with coal.  Coal is dirty and inefficient.  Take away the subsidies, let the industry fair on its own accord.  Oil, well actually oil is still more efficient then any other power source, exception maybe nuclear. 

Nuclear is another big annoyance with me.  It's cleaner, efficient, unlimited, but no Reps or Dems want to touch it.  They criticize the current plants for being dangerous, but no new plant has been built since the 70s, so none have modern safe guards in place. 

Not to mention all the storage facilities that were meant to be short term are getting filled up with spent fuel.  We have a long term storage facility in AZ (the bast place for it since 90+% of AZ is uninhabitable), but no politicians wants to allow trains through their district with spent fuel.  They rather have it build up in an area with little to protection, go figure.
I'm not sure there are any subsidies associated with coal mining.  The big problem are the environmental controls that present acid rain and particulate matter (I'll leave aside the regulations regarding CO2 emissions).  there are new nuclear power plant designs that are far safer than the current reactors.  However, the licensing process is still long and quite involved.  Spent nuclear fuel can be reprocessed (the French do this all the time) but the US facility was poorly designed and had big problems.  It was shut down several decades ago.  Are you sure you are not thinking of the Yucca Mountain storage site in Nevada?  That is the one where there has been a huge political fight about.

Most of the public associates nuclear power with a great deal of dread.  Of course the incidents at Chernobyl, Three Mile Island, and Fukishima only reinforce those feelings.
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Slobodan Blagojevic

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Re: Trump II
« Reply #1498 on: March 17, 2017, 09:54:51 am »

... there are instances when a new technology might need some assistance to get going (e.g., alternative energy)...

"Obama clean energy loans leave taxpayers in $2.2 billion hole"

http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2015/apr/27/obama-backed-green-energy-failures-leave-taxpayers/

Alan Goldhammer

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Re: Trump II
« Reply #1499 on: March 17, 2017, 09:57:25 am »

I live in NJ.  When I drive along the shore, I see many homes that were damaged during Hurricane Sandy were re-built on stilts.  People of course still want to live by the ocean and are willing to take the risk.  I'm glad I'm inland.  Before Sandy, my wife an I were looking to buy a home on the south shore of Long Island NY.  Then I looked at the FEMA maps and realized most of the places  were in flood zones so we changed our minds. 

It's also important to note that commercial property casualty companies will not insure against flood damage.  Insurance rates in ocean front areas that are subject to hurricanes are very high as well.  Of course the government continues to bail these localities out when such disasters happen.  Is this a good use of tax money?  Shouldn't the states have to handle this?  I remember after Katrina the US spent over $12B to improve and modernize the flood control system in New Orleans yet Governor Jindal was always complaining about taxes being to high and the government should leave more stuff up to the state.  He certainly was happy to accept the repair work after Katrina.
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