Eric,
I read Tom Hogarty's comments, and I don't doubt them, but they're about LR5.
My concerns are a longer term. When CC was launched, there was no mention of it becoming "compulsory"; users could choose a subscription or perpetual-licence model. Then, bang! Having lost the ability to upgrade 3 versions ago, then CS disappears altogether, and for single-product users the price goes up markedly (50% for those that upgrade each time, over 500% for those that used to upgrade every 3 releases).
LR5 will be a stand-alone, perpetual licence product, I trust you! But what about LR6? LR7?
Should I really be making a long-term commitment to LR, and then find in 18 months time that LR6 is CC only (and more expensive)? If that's in doubt, I want to start planning my exit strategy now.
I do believe what you and Tom are saying, but my trust in Adobe has taken a real knock over this.