I feel I am vindicated in my assessment that Adobe will keep Lightroom separate from CC because the competition is fierce. They just confirmed that in will remain standalone. Pity there aren't many credible options for Photoshop -- which really does set the standard. I've played now with GIMP, Photoline and Paintshop Pro. All decent programs on their own, but the re-learning curve is steep, and they really aren't as good. Pisses me off really, because then Adobe can pull their CC business. For almost everything else, there are vey good alternate programs. I'll update my InDesign and Illustrator to the "last" independent versions -- CS6. Then, I really don't know.
Your assessment may well be right, and if it is your reason for it (fierce competition) is all that counts. After having been an Adobe "fan boy" for decades I no longer have any faith in what Adobe confirms or denies. Adobe said they'd continue offering a perpetual license along with a new subscription license. Adobe also set a deadline after which you could upgrade that perpetual license only from the previous version, instead of from three versions back as had previously been their policy. Then, after all the stragglers believed that and upgraded to the latest version (CS6) so they wouldn't be left out of the new, and for some more expensive, perpetual license upgrade path, Adobe said there wouldn't really be any upgrade path after all. Your options were really to subscribe now or subscribe when you can no longer find a computer system that will run CS6. Oh, and by the way, the cost of that subscription will be way more than it was to upgrade the perpetual license every time a new version came out. I think this shows that Adobe's recent confirmations of new policy often have a very short lifetime.
But the real problem here isn't cost, it's the fact that Adobe holds the future of everyone's PSD files (and I think layered TIFFs) in their hands. Yes, I've got flat TIFFs of finished work, but we all know most work is never really finished. We learn new things and go back to layered and masked PSD files to make changes, hopefully improving our images. There are thousands, perhaps tens of thousands of hours invested in those files, and a company whose policy shifts with the direction of the wind actually has complete control of them, including how much you must pay each month to keep using those files. That's an extremely uncomfortable situation. Yes, I know Adobe has always been in control of those files, but prior to recent times Adobe was less mercenary and more reasonable in their decisions so it didn't seem to matter. This has been a real wake-up call.
Adobe software is great, but as the saying goes, "Fool me once, shame on you; fool me twice, shame on me." After a good fraction of a lifetime spent using Photoshop, and then ACR, I have no idea what's next. If I did I'd be doing it instead of wasting my time ranting like this. If there is a way to sever all ties with Adobe and still do what I do, that would be my strong preference. If that's impossible or impractical, "bending over" knowing I can't trust anything about what Adobe may decide regarding the future of my files is a distasteful option. On a happier note, everyone will survive no matter what Adobe does, even if only their flattened TIFFs make it through this storm.