$4k might not be that far off the mark
given that a used IQ180 barely gets to $15k privately
If I were in the market for a DB at the moment, unless I absolutely had to have it right this minute, I'd keep my money in my pocket. Why? Well, it does seem to be a tricky time to price the things - there seems to be a degree of uncertainty since the D800 hit the market, with a notable number of DBs coming up for sale and prices flip-flopping around all over the place. The fact that the IQ180 I mentioned above barely reaches 30% of it's new value just one year ago (and it was being sold by a top-rated ebay seller) is pretty astonishing. Kinda like saying D800s will be going for less than $1k in 12 months time. Er, I don't think so. Tests like the one they did on the circle of confusion website
, where they banged out 60x40 prints (and that's inches, not cm for crying out loud) from an IQ180 and a D800, and had difficulty telling them apart, don't help either if you're a seller looking to recoup some $.
That is not correct. USD15,300 is where it is at, but reserve has still not been met. The BIN is at USD34,500. I know someone who got really lucky and bought one for USD30k, but that was about as low as I have seen it.
For someone who is not in the market for an MF system, the D800 may seem like a viable alternative, but I do not think it is rational to compare different systems and format. However good m43 and APS-C systems may get, they are still different formats from from FF, as FF is from MF, just as 645, 6x6, 6x7, 6x8, and 6x9 all render differently.
A souped up Mitsubishi Evolution does not a Ferrari make.