Shy of empirical data either way, it's speculation. Any anecdote is not a scientific sample, however, I've tested a wide range of inkjet printers and if anything, a new printer with new cartridges has more nozzle problems than after a "break in" period (let's say months). I've run with old ink well outside of 8 months post installation and over a year past expiration, including pigment inks, with no additional nozzle problems beyond what I consider expected. And I think I've measured a few color charts, such that if the deviation were that remarkable, I'd probably notice. But this is not a scientific sample. It's not particularly useful information, other than, I'm suspicious of the efficacy of an expiration date on any ink cartridge.
Granted, I've overwhelmingly tested Epson printers. And I do know that not all pigment inks are are constructed the same way molecularly. And the solvent varies as well, because of course the print head technologies differ rather radically, and that may be a contributing factor.
Buyer beware is very reasonable. I have here the PDF user manual for an Epson SP 7900, and the word "expiration" occurs twice in 238 pages, in the "solving problems" section, there is one solution to two problems: "colors incorrect or missing" and "print has gaps or appears faint." The solution is "Check the expiration date printed on each of the ink cartridges. If the cartridge is too old, replaced it as described on page XXX."
If we take this literally, we can't actually make a decision at all without assumption. However, funny enough, if one assumes the the user manual contains complete advice concerning the normal operation of the printer, including instances which users are likely to encounter, it seems quite OK to install an expired ink cartridge into a printer and continue to use it so long as you don't experience one of the problems listed. No where does it say, don't install expired ink cartridges. Or to remove them once expired. Only that if you're having a problem, and a cartridge is expired, one possible (of many) solutions is to replace expired cartridges.
Anyway, I find it to be sufficiently vague advise as to be almost meaningless.
Another note says "for best results, use up a cartridge with six months of opening the package." Accounting for the small typo, "with" exchanged for "within" it doesn't sound too dire.
I do have customers who keep some of their printers near windows and heat vents. They have more nozzle problems than I consider average. The temperature issue is also mentioned in the manual. Wait three hours minimum, when bringing an ink cartridge inside from a cold storage site. Curious wording, but I think it's reasonable that it has to do with temperature rather than temperature and internal or external location.