Everybody finds humor in little bits and pieces I guess, Doug, for example I am most amused about that "645 was announced in 2005 and launched in 2010" part like it was the same camera 5 years in the making (a very common thing over the net, btw). No specific knowledge I am afraid only that I know a lot about Pentax and how they operated in the past. Typically a higher end Pentax camera is active in fabrication about 18 months or less and of course this only applied to APS-C cameras in the past but I don't see them waiting over 2 years to announce a new MF camera.
The problem with 645D is that most of its internals were almost end of life when it was launched. The Pentax Prime 2 processor is a Fujitsu Milbeaut part (which Fujitsu just upgraded) and the controllers for SDXC high speeds weren't available. Both of these parts will be available in H2 of this year and will mean much faster speeds and responsiveness for the camera and/or the ability to work with larger files. The camera body has space for a larger sensor and a larger prism and both new lenses work on full 645 film size so clearly Pentax aims for a larger sensor in the future. They need just another sensor package.
So Pentax IMO has three choices:
- Waits for a new CMOS sensor done for any customer by a semiconductor company thus pushing the new camera and risking delays;
- Uses a larger sized CCD with the new processor and fast SDXC speeds but in the process locks another cycle of 2+ years interval when the new 35mm cameras will appear;
- Keeps the current sensor, makes the camera much faster and responsive by replacing the electronics inside and they can launch it even in late 2011 or early 2012 and reduce the price even further. This will only aggravate people who are just buying the 645D now and cement the opinion of a "poor man's MF system" which is in total contradiction with their expensive and ambitious 25mm lens and I consider it very unlikely.
So my
guess is that since they are able to order large quantities they already have a deal with a Japanese company to make them exclusively at very least a 44x33 mm CMOS and have two big shows in 2012 to showcase it (early the big Japanese show of the year - this year was named CP+) and in September or so Photokina. And I also guess that Pentax will have more than one MF cameras (44x33 mm and larger sensor).
Sorry for my English I am not sure I make much sense also here is 2 AM and I am quite tired.
Regards,
Radu
I love comments about the future which include the phrase "without any doubt".
Especially about when you remember the 645D was "unveiled" at PIE2005 and shipped in late 2010.
My industry read (an informed guess and not much more) is that CMOS medium format is still more than 2 years from being in people's hands. Unless you have specific knowledge you want to share...
Doug Peterson (e-mail Me)
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