OK, time for a follow-up. If nothing else someone may search to find this in the future...
I ended up printing two images last week and having them delivered. The goal was to see some output that I could judge myself using my current skill level with postprocessing. My expectation is that this represents the lowest quality level I'll see; as I learn more about digital post-processing I expect my results to get better.
So, here's what I got:
Print One: 40 inches from a Fuji S2 ProMy wife has been wanting to print this for our wall for a while, so I figured now was the time. This is essentially a 6 megapixel camera so I didn't expect much.
Processing was all done in Lightroom, and the output was to use Lightroom to print to JPEG, printing at 250 ppi (the resolution of my lab's printers) using the built-in Lightroom interpolation, with output sharpening at its lowest setting. The print was created by Miller's Lab which is a portrait outfit I've been using for a dozen years, but what the hell. I don't have any recent experience with anyone else, and everyone else I've used (notably Ivey Seright) has been for film-based printing so there's no direct comparison anyway.
The image was this one:
Output looks just fine at normal viewing distance (defined as "far enough away that you can see the entire print without using your peripheral vision.) I'd like to be able to move closer and see more of the print, like the waves that were cresting, but that's just not possible. Moving really close does show some haloing on the left-hand edge of the clump of rocks on the mid-ground, but from a normal distance it looks crisp. The wife is thrilled.
That shocked the hell out of me, to be honest. Especially since it was shot hand-held on the side of the road using a consumer-grade 100-300mm zoom lens. Defining your viewing distance impacts this a whole lot more than I expected it would, I suppose.
Print Two: 20x30 from a D300s NEF FileI downloaded a NEF file that DPReview included in their review of the camera from
here and spent about 4 minutes in lightroom with it. I kicked it out of lightroom the same way, with a 250 ppi print to JPEG which I uploaded to MPix. Mpix ~= Miller's so I figured it was a reasonable way to go, plus it was reasonably cheap.
The image is here:
Output looks good from a "reasonable viewing distance" again. I can't really say much about the image -- I know it was shot at ISO 200, f8 @ 22mm and 1/50s, but that's it. No idea as to lens, focal point, tripod or VR, whether we would see more detail in the grass if the wind hadn't been blowing, etc. It's just an image, and I am trying to evaluate it as such.
This makes it hard to evaluate sharpness, though. Hyperfocal distance was (probably) used, but how much does this impact sharpness at 20x30? How much sharper would it be if we had a focal point in the image, rather than "most everything?"
Overall I think the 20x30 is sufficient for my purposes. I'd like more detail in the image, and I'd like more resolution, but I don't know that moving up to 24 megapixels will provide the sort of resolution I'd like to see. You all can talk about the allure of MFDBs, but I'd like to have sex again sometime this decade, so that's out for now.
In the end I need to recognize that it's not just about me and my taste. I've got a target audience (which also means no B&W, unfortunately) with their own set of standards, and from what I can tell 12 megapixel Nikon DX sensors surpass that level of quality. It certainly will if I stitch a few images together, but odds are the right image will do quite well even as a single capture (and likely at a higher ISO than this -- I'm surprised how little "grain" came through on the final image. More proof that I need to print more from digital to better hone my film-educated instincts.)
Thanks for the comments. For now I can pay less attention to gear, and start following the post-processing discussions more closely.