Poll

Your prediction, not your vote.

Clinton
- 9 (69.2%)
Trump
- 4 (30.8%)
Hung college
- 0 (0%)

Total Members Voted: 13


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Author Topic: Election predictions  (Read 67008 times)

eronald

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Election predictions
« on: November 07, 2016, 08:43:32 pm »

Just write in the way you think it will go.
Let's see if LL has predictive power.
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Manoli

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Re: Election predictions
« Reply #1 on: November 08, 2016, 04:59:51 am »

There was a recent interview on CNN (in a bar unknown) where , no sooner had the question 'who you're going to vote for on Tuesday ?' been asked of a D voter that an R man goes apoplectic and in no time almost the whole bar erupts into partisan bickering, so the reporter turns to a bystander closest to him, and in turn asks:

> So which way do you go on Tuesday ?
> Which way ?
> Yes.
> Backwards.

Sums it up.
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Chairman Bill

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Re: Election predictions
« Reply #2 on: November 08, 2016, 05:04:17 am »

I foresee a Clinton victory, followed by seriously unpleasant civil unrest

stamper

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Re: Election predictions
« Reply #3 on: November 08, 2016, 08:35:37 am »

There won't be any "winners" because they are both "losers". If they are the best the US can produce then the US public will be even bigger "losers" :(

Paulo Bizarro

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Re: Election predictions
« Reply #4 on: November 08, 2016, 09:16:41 am »

Here from Portugal, I wish a good election day for the USA. As an outsider, I have no claims of even understanding the differences between the D and R parties... things are more polarized around here.

But in the end, it's like any other election in many countries, in this globalized world: whoever wins will have to do what the guys with real power (money) tell them to.

Camboman

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Re: Election predictions
« Reply #5 on: November 08, 2016, 10:02:54 am »

I foresee a Clinton victory, followed by seriously unpleasant civil unrest

Yes, but I guess it could be worse.
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Alan Klein

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Re: Election predictions
« Reply #6 on: November 08, 2016, 03:43:18 pm »

There's not going to be any civil unrest.   You're reading to many biased media.

Slobodan Blagojevic

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Re: Election predictions
« Reply #7 on: November 08, 2016, 03:49:02 pm »

There's not going to be any civil unrest...

Only if Trump wins. Any organized violence typically comes from the left, as already exemplified in this election.

Rob C

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Re: Election predictions
« Reply #8 on: November 08, 2016, 03:53:38 pm »

Here from Portugal, I wish a good election day for the USA. As an outsider, I have no claims of even understanding the differences between the D and R parties... things are more polarized around here.

But in the end, it's like any other election in many countries, in this globalized world: whoever wins will have to do what the guys with real power (money) tell them to.


Yeah, and I hear they are now going to make folks with a property getting more sunshine that somebody else, pay a higher tax. That's the cynical face of socialism. No, this isn't a joke. It was on tv news.

As far as my memory runs, there was a time some couple or more decades ago when Portugal went communist and took over a lot of villas... I think they discovered that was counterproductive. But once bitten, anyone buying there again deserves what comes. Seems it's coming.

Rob C

drmike

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Re: Election predictions
« Reply #9 on: November 08, 2016, 05:10:42 pm »

In the UK a council charged higher rates (property tax) on a flat at the top of the building because they had a good sea view - despite the windows being designed in such a way that it was impossible to look out of them. Sigh.
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Alan Klein

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Re: Election predictions
« Reply #10 on: November 08, 2016, 05:39:26 pm »

Paying higher taxes on more desirable property happens anyway at the same tax rate because they have a higher sale valuation.  Since the property is worth more, then the same percent tax will gain the government more money than property of less worth. 

Chairman Bill

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Re: Election predictions
« Reply #11 on: November 08, 2016, 06:24:39 pm »

Only if Trump wins. Any organized violence typically comes from the left, as already exemplified in this election.

I know. All those liberal militias, just lining up to plant IEDs 'n' shit

jfirneno

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Re: Election predictions
« Reply #12 on: November 08, 2016, 07:03:36 pm »

I know. All those liberal militias, just lining up to plant IEDs 'n' shit

liberal militia = Black Lives Matter

Just ask the cops or anyone in their vicinity
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donbga

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Re: Election predictions
« Reply #13 on: November 08, 2016, 07:47:25 pm »

I see the usual suspects are lining up to yap.

Good night!
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Zorki5

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Re: Election predictions
« Reply #14 on: November 08, 2016, 08:02:26 pm »

A good thing to watch (and think about) this night:

'The West Wing' needed British cynicism
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Slobodan Blagojevic

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Re: Election predictions
« Reply #15 on: November 08, 2016, 10:18:41 pm »

Trump appears to be the first candidate in history to win all 50 states in a tsunami landslide:

Zorki5

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Re: Election predictions
« Reply #16 on: November 08, 2016, 10:47:33 pm »

Trump appears to be the first candidate in history to win all 50 states in a tsunami landslide:

And all of a sudden, there is an industry that is in much, much deeper trouble than photographic: pollsters and predictors of all sorts... I guess I'd rather be Nikon's employee right now than Gallup's  ;D ;D ;D  ;)
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eronald

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Re: Election predictions
« Reply #17 on: November 08, 2016, 11:25:57 pm »

And all of a sudden, there is an industry that is in much, much deeper trouble than photographic: pollsters and predictors of all sorts... I guess I'd rather be Nikon's employee right now than Gallup's  ;D ;D ;D  ;)

They were paid.

Edmund
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Zorki5

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Re: Election predictions
« Reply #18 on: November 08, 2016, 11:36:51 pm »

They were paid.

Of course.

But will they be paid [hefty] next time now that they are so discredited?

What's happening now (irrespective of final result) is, from pollsters' reputation standpoint, is much worse than Brexit.
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Slobodan Blagojevic

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Re: Election predictions
« Reply #19 on: November 09, 2016, 12:33:37 am »

I've been saying this all along: polls are rigged by definition - they are not anonymous. Especially important in this election, where one side is so demonized and supporters ostracized.
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