Pom,
I still can't follow your reasoning. The RAW file is not influenced by the histogram in any way. The tonal qualities of your image, when shooting RAW, are dependent only upon the aperture, shutter speed and external lighting conditions of the scene you are shooting. (Excluding obvious factors such as general camera quality and compositional skill etc). The image on the camera's LCD screen might look washed out and dull, or punchy and contrasty but that's of no concern whatsoever in relation to the RAW file, the converted image or any subsequent prints you might make. But it would make a difference if you are shooting in jpeg mode.
As I understand, the purpose of adjusting the contrast of one of the picture styles is to make the histogram a more accurate guide for exposing to the right. Having now had a chance to examine the series of shots I took through the hotel window a couple of days ago, I can provide the following data that is certainly relevant to the lighting conditions at the time the shots were taken but might not be relevant to different lighting conditions.
Using the 'evaluative' metering mode, producing a 'correct' exposure of 1/50th and subsequent exposures of 1/60th, 1/80th, 1/100th and 1/125th using EC, I found that setting a Picture Style contrast to its minimum (-4) resulted in the histogram and flashing highlight warning being the most accurate for exposing to the right.
Curiously, the evaluative metering mode was spot on for these lighting conditions. There was no need to even look at the histogram. At the 'correct' exposure of 1/50th, there was a modest amount of highlight flashing in parts of the sky. At 1/60th the flashing was gone. Either 1/50th or 1/60th is okay for this scene. Whilst the histogram in ACR is clearly pushed against the right for both the 1/50th and 1/60th shots, an EC adjustment of around 1 stop is able to recover sufficient sky detail.
When I examine the shots taken with a Picture Style set at +4 contrast, at the same shutter speeds, the images are of course identical. However, in all of those shots except the one at 1/125th, the highlight warning was flashing. If I'd been using the histogram as a guide for exposing to the right, I'd have used either 1/100th or 1/125th exposure for this scene and in doing so I'd have underexposed shadows by one full stop more than necessary, thus needlessly introducing unwanted noise in the deepest shadows.
Dale's technique of exposing 3 stops greater than the spot meter reading for the brightest part of the image, might prove to be the most reliable and consistent method. However, the downside of this approach is the risk of losing the moment whilst searching for the brightest spot in the scene and then doing the mental arithmetic of dividing 350 by 2. (Although, I should add that I am quite capable of doing this without resorting to the use of a calculator, but I can't speak for others )